Démocratie

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Depuis la fin de juillet, la nouvelle candidate démocrate et son colistier font l’objet, de la part de Donald Trump et de ses militants, d’une avalanche de désinformations mêlant sexisme, transphobie et racisme.

De stad Kopenhagen beloont toeristen die zich duurzaam en verantwoordelijk gedragen. Wie zich bijvoorbeeld met de fiets verplaatst of meehelpt met het opruimen van zwerfvuil in het park of aan de haven, mag een beloning verwachten. Dat heeft de dienst voor toerisme aangekondigd. Het pilootproject start vandaag en loopt over 4 weken.

Consumenten moeten eraan wennen dat niet alle groenten het hele jaar beschikbaar zijn. Dat zegt topvrouw Nicole Freid van de Nederlandse groente- en peulvruchtenverwerker HAK. Door klimaatverandering worden oogsten in de toekomst minder voorspelbaar en gaan weersextremen leiden tot schaarste van bepaalde producten, klinkt het.

Blog edited by Sam Carana, with news on climate change and warming in the Arctic due to snow and ice loss and methane releases from the seafloor.

If currently implemented policies are continued with no increase in ambition, there is a 90% chance that the Earth will warm between 2.3°C and 4.5°C, with a best estimate of 3.5°C.

Le mouvement climatique estime qu’il est plus facile de faire campagne contre l’industrie fossile qu’en faveur d’une industrie verte. Cette dernière est toutefois nécessaire pour mener à bien une transition écologique.

De klimaatbeweging vindt het makkelijker om tegen fossiele industrie actie te voeren, dan voor groene industrie. Dat laatste is echter noodzakelijk om een ecologische transitie te winnen.

Le vote, qui se déroule du 6 au 9 juin, n’est que la première étape d’un processus qui aboutit à la désignation de la Commission européenne.

VN-klimaatbaas Simon Stiell hoopt dat de volgende klimaattoppen het met veel minder bezoekers kunnen stellen. De laatste top in Dubai was een recordeditie met bijna 84.000 deelnemers.

Omniprésente dans le débat public depuis l’explosion des intelligences artificielles (IA) génératives, l’IA suscite les fantasmes de nombreux commentateurs. Elle n’est ni neuve ni vraiment intelligente, mais pose de nombreuses questions. Explications.

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Wies Willems, beleidsmedewerker grondstoffen bij Broederlijk Delen, overloopt de hoopgevende en zorgwekkende evoluties in Latijns-Amerika, een continent tjokvol mineralen en metalen die onmisbaar zijn voor de energietransitie.

In Munich I heard both Ukrainians and Alexei Navalny’s widow tell us why Putin must be defeated, says Guardian columnist Timothy Garton Ash

The auto industry is making too many cars powered by fossil fuels.

Marine heat waves will become a regular occurrence in the Arctic in the near future and are a product of higher anthropogenic greenhouse-gas emissions, according to a study just released by Dr. Armineh Barkhordarian from Universität Hamburg's Cluster of Excellence for climate research CLICCS. Since 2007, conditions in the Arctic have shifted, as confirmed by data recently published in the journal Communications Earth & Environment. Between 2007 and 2021, the marginal zones of the Arctic Ocean experienced 11 marine heat waves, producing an average temperature rise of 2.2 degrees Celsius above seasonal norm and lasting an average of 37 days. Since 2015, there have been Arctic marine heat waves every year.

Pour Philippe Baret, professeur à la Faculté des bioingénieurs de l’UCLouvain, « transformateurs » et distributeurs sont largement responsables de la situation que dénoncent les agriculteurs.

Au Forum économique mondial, une table ronde sur les risques de nouvelle pandémie a été interprétée comme une preuve de complot des élites mondiales.

James Hansen says limit will be passed ‘for all practical purposes’ by May though other experts predict that will happen in 2030s

With the help of the contingency concept, the article explores the reasons behind these surprises by introducing a new category of threats that complements the ones in the existing literature on surprise. It adds the concept of ‘known—corporally unknown’ threats to the list of known-unknowns, unknown-unknowns as a way to emsphasize the difference between abstract knowledge of ‘facts and figures’ (of e.g., global warming) and the acquiring of knowledge through personal, bodily experience (tangere) (of flooding and draughts). T

Steeds meer Joodse Israëli verlaten die regio of willen dat doen. Die emigratie heet 'yerida' en is het tegengestelde van de 'aliyah', de immigratie van Joden uit de zogenaamde diaspora naar Israël. De Israëlische overheid maakt emigratie knap lastig. Door o.a. de eis van een exit visum en andere administratieve obstakels.

L’algorithme de X (anciennement Twitter) valorise les contenus les plus racoleurs et la manipulation payante, tandis que les comptes sérieux sont de moins en moins visibles. En plein début de guerre, la plate-forme n’a jamais autant montré ses failles.

Catastrophic climate change and the collapse of human societies By Josep Peñuelas, Sandra Nogué National Science Review, Volume 10, Issue 6, June 2023 The scientific community has focused the agend…

Previously, anthropogenic ecological overshoot has been identified as a fundamental cause of the myriad symptoms we see around the globe today from biodiversity loss and ocean acidification to the disturbing rise in novel entities and climate change. In the present paper, we have examined this more deeply, and explore the behavioural drivers of overshoot, providing evidence that overshoot is itself a symptom of a deeper, more subversive modern crisis of human behaviour. We work to name and frame this crisis as ‘the Human Behavioural Crisis’ and propose the crisis be recognised globally as a critical intervention point for tackling ecological overshoot. We demonstrate how current interventions are largely physical, resource intensive, slow-moving and focused on addressing the symptoms of ecological overshoot (such as climate change) rather than the distal cause (maladaptive behaviours). We argue that even in the best-case scenarios, symptom-level interventions are unlikely to avoid catastrophe or achieve more

Là où les négateurs du dérèglement climatique craignaient autrefois l’abolition du système libéral ou la menace soviétique, ils empruntent désormais les codes antisystèmes nés pendant la pandémie de Covid-19.

But the decline in oil, gas and coal will not be steep enough to limit global warming to 1.5C

More than 1 billion cows around the world will experience heat stress by the end of the century if carbon emissions are high and environmental protection is low, according to new research published in Environmental Research Letters. This would mean cattle farming would face potentially lethal heat stress in much of the world, including Central America, tropical South America, Equatorial Africa, and South and Southeast Asia.

Population ecologist William Rees, with the University of British Columbia's School of Community and Regional Planning, is reminding denizens of Earth that the planet can only support so many people. In his paper published in the journal World, he points out that many models have been developed over the years that show that only a certain number of animals (such as rats) can live in a given environment—they all show that at some point, a population correction occurs.

C'est ce qu'affirme un éminent économiste écologique. C'est une sombre prédiction qu'a faite le professeur William Rees, de l'Université de Colombie-Britannique. Si son nom n'est pas très connu en France, un concept qu'il a développé l'est bien davantage: l'empreinte écologique....

In de Verenigde Staten hebben zestien jongeren gelijk gekregen in een rechtszaak tegen de staat Montana. De jongeren vochten een regel aan die verbood om de impact van wetten op het klimaat te bestuderen. De staat moet voortaan rekening houden met de CO₂-uitstoot en de gevolgen ervan op droogte, bosbranden en andere klimaatrisico’s. Het was de eerste Amerikaanse klimaatzaak die het tot in de rechtbank schopte.

Homo sapiens has evolved to reproduce exponentially, expand geographically, and consume all available resources. For most of humanity’s evolutionary history, such expansionist tendencies have been countered by negative feedback. However, the scientific revolution and the use of fossil fuels reduced many forms of negative feedback, enabling us to realize our full potential for exponential growth. This natural capacity is being reinforced by growth-oriented neoliberal economics—nurture complements nature. Problem: the human enterprise is a ‘dissipative structure’ and sub-system of the ecosphere—it can grow and maintain itself only by consuming and dissipating available energy and resources extracted from its host system, the ecosphere, and discharging waste back into its host. The population increase from one to eight billion, and >100-fold expansion of real GWP in just two centuries on a finite planet, has thus propelled modern techno-industrial society into a state of advanced overshoot. We are consuming and

Confusions entre météo et climat, réécriture de l’histoire… Derrière des apparences parfois savantes, ceux qui nient la réalité du dérèglement climatique multiplient les assertions trompeuses, voire les biais souvent grossiers.

Une partie de la France connaît depuis trois semaines un temps maussade qui suscite la perplexité. Une météo qui s’explique par le déplacement du courant-jet, sans remettre en question la réalité du changement climatique.

Le pays d’Amérique du Sud est scruté par les spécialistes en santé publique depuis l’augmentation des cas recensés et la mort de quatre patients, au début de juillet. L’état d’urgence a été déclaré, mais la cause est encore inconnue.

Par John Dearing, Gregory Cooper et Simon Willcock via The Conversation, traduction A l’encontre. Selon une étude parue dans la revue Nature Sustainability, sous la pression des activités humaines, nous pourrions subir des effondrements des écosystèmes avec des points de basculements jusqu’à 80% plus tôt que ce que les modèles envisagent.

Partout dans le monde, les forêts tropicales humides se transforment en savane ou en terres agricoles, la savane s’assèche et se transforme en désert, et la toundra glacée fond. En effet, des études scientifiques ont désormais enregistré des « changements de régime » de ce type dans plus de 20 types d’écosystèmes différents, où des points de basculement ont été franchis. Dans le monde entier, plus de 20 % des écosystèmes risquent de changer de régime ou de s’effondrer. Ces effondrements pourraient se produire plus tôt qu’on ne le pense. L’homme soumet déjà les écosystèmes à de nombreuses pressions, que nous appelons « stress ». Si l’on ajoute à ces pressions une augmentation des phénomènes météorologiques extrêmes liés au climat, la date à laquelle ces points de basculement sont franchis pourrait être avancée de 80 %.

Updated, more accurate data gives a new look at the effects of sea level rise.

Around the world, rainforests are becoming savanna or farmland, savanna is drying out and turning into desert, and icy tundra is thawing. Indeed, scientific studies have now recorded "regime shifts" like these in more than 20 different types of ecosystem where tipping points have been passed. Around the world, more than 20% of ecosystems are in danger of shifting or collapsing into something different.

We ran computer programs that simulate ecosystems 70,000 times and the results are very worrying.

Without more legally binding and well-planned net-zero policies, the world is highly likely to miss key climate targets.

State Farm will almost entirely stop issuing new policies in California – with climate-exacerbated wildfires and bad public policy a large reason why

Congo is een grootmacht op het vlak van klimaatregulering. Congolese politici zijn zich daarvan steeds meer bewust en eisen nu boter bij de vis. Maar rijke landen leggen vooralsnog weinig geld op tafel, ziet milieuminister Ève Bazaiba. ‘We zullen het milieu niet beschermen met onze eigen goede wil.’

Om écht komaf te maken met eurocentrisme is er meer nodig dan traditionele handelsrecepten met een groene saus, schrijft beleidsmedewerker bij Broederlijk Delen Wies Willems. Als het de EU menens is met meer gelijkwaardige relaties, moeten handelsinstrumenten worden ingezet als hefboom voor waardecreatie.

Alors que les événements climatiques extrêmes se multiplient, les discours niant le consensus scientifique sur le dérèglement du climat progressent. Derrière une façade pseudo-experte, leurs incohérences trahissent une profonde malhonnêteté intellectuelle.

A major concern for the world’s ecosystems is the possibility of collapse, where landscapes and the societies they support change abruptly. Accelerating stress levels, increasing frequencies of extreme events and strengthening intersystem connections suggest that conventional modelling approaches based on incremental changes in a single stress may provide poor estimates of the impact of climate and human activities on ecosystems. We conduct xperiments on four models that simulate abrupt changes in the Chilika lagoon fshery, the Easter Island community, forest dieback and lake water quality—representing ecosystems with a range of anthropogenic interactions. Collapses occur sooner under increasing levels of primary stress but additional stresses and/or the inclusion of noise in all four models bring the collapses substantially closer to today by ~38–81%. We discuss the implications for further research and the need for humanity to be vigilant for signs that ecosystems are degrading even more rapidly than previo

World is on track for 2.7C and ‘phenomenal’ human suffering, scientists warn. Up to 1 billion people could choose to migrate to cooler places, the scientists said, although those areas remaining within the climate niche would still experience more frequent heatwaves and droughts. However, urgent action to lower carbon emissions and keep global temperature rise to 1.5C would cut the number of people pushed outside the climate niche by 80%, to 400 million.

Confusions entre météo et climat, réécriture de l’histoire… Derrière des apparences parfois savantes, ceux qui nient la réalité du dérèglement climatique multiplient les assertions trompeuses, voire les biais souvent grossiers.

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Europese leiders tekenen de "Ostend Declaration": zo willen ze van de Noordzee één grote, groene energiecentrale maken

An investigation by conservationists has found evidence that deep-seabed mining of rare minerals could cause “extensive and irreversible” damage to the planet.The report, to be published on Monday by the international wildlife charity Fauna & Flora, adds to the growing controversy that surrounds proposals to sweep the ocean floor of rare minerals that include cobalt, manganese and nickel. Mining companies want to exploit these deposits – which are crucial to the alternative energy sector – because land supplies are running low, they say.

Six KCs among more than 120 mostly English lawyers to sign pledge not to act for fossil fuel interests

Du pur “en même temps”. Lundi 13 mars, le gouvernement américain donnait son feu vert au projet pétrolier Willow du géant américain ConocoPhillips en Alaska, au cœur de la plus grande propriété foncière de l’État fédéral. Le même jour, le même gouvernement annonçait son intention d’interdire les forages pétroliers et gaziers sur plus d’un million d’hectares dans la mer de Beaufort et l’océan Arctique.

Cette semaine, un correspondant français s’est rendu dans la forêt d’Atlanta, lieu d’une lutte de défense où se conjuguent et se rejoignent une pluralité d’expérimentations politiques, culturelles, et où se déploie depuis bientôt deux ans un combat qui témoigne d’une inventivité sans cesse renouvelée de la part des activistes et groupes de camarades présents sur place. Nous avons publié plusieurs articles sur LundiMatin qui traitent de la situation sur place, et nous étions entretenus avec certains de ces activistes pendant l’hiver. Voici cette fois le récit de deux journées de construction, de courses-poursuites, de fêtes et de sabotage.

Six associations environnementales ont annoncé mardi poursuivre le gouvernement américain après son autorisation, la veille, du grand projet pétrolier Willow, dans le nord-ouest de l'Alaska. L'administration du président Joe Biden a autorisé ce projet "bien qu'il ait reconnu les préjudices entraînés et échoué à les réduire pour les populations de l'Arctique, la santé publique, la vie sauvage et le climat", a déclaré dans un communiqué l'une des six associations, Sierra Club.

Les défenseurs du projet y voient une source d’emplois et une contribution à l’indépendance énergétique des Etats-Unis. Tandis que pour l’opposition, les effets seront « dévastateurs » pour les décennies à venir.

Le gouvernement étasunien a approuvé, le 13 mars, l’immense projet Willow, porté par le géant texan ConocoPhillips. Ce dernier espère produire 576 millions de barils de pétrole sur environ trente ans. Au grand dam des écologistes et de certaines communautés autochtones, qui s’inquiètent des répercussions environnementales de cette nouvelle « bombe climatique ». La bataille autour de ce projet, situé sur des terres fédérales publiques, dure depuis des années : approuvé dans un premier temps par (...)

Le FBI a déclaré qu’il penche désormais pour la thèse d’une fuite de laboratoire. Mais ses explications vagues et le contexte politique chargé laissent pour l’instant les experts dubitatifs.

We hebben niet alleen een energietransitie nodig, maar ook een omslag in het Europese grondstoffenbeleid. Extractie terugschroeven en mondiale ongelijkheden aanpakken, daar moet het om gaan. Waar blijft de ‘sense of urgency’? vraagt beleidsmedewerker bij Broederlijk Delen Wies Willems zich af.

The new study shows that every increment of sea level rise will cover more than twice as much land as older models predicted, and marks another advance in providing more accurate models of rising seas

Sarah Frères est journaliste depuis une petite dizaine d’années. Depuis trois ans, elle travaille pour Imagine demain...

Letters: I risked prison to stand up against an system that will lead to ecological and societal collapse – we must look for alternative economic models, writes Zoe Cohen

Particulièrement violentes contre les ruraux et les ménages pauvres, les ZFE n'ont guère d'intérêt écologique.

Dans le climat d’éco-anxiété ambiant, la philosophe Corine Pelluchon délivre un message d’espoir: c’est la fin d’un monde mais aussi l’occasion d’un changement, d’un horizon d’espérance.

Over the past 12 months, courts from Indonesia to Australia have made groundbreaking rulings that blocked polluting power plants and denounced the human rights violations of the climate crisis. But 2023 could be even more important, with hearings and judgments across the world poised to throw light on the worst perpetrators, give victims a voice and force recalcitrant governments and companies into

There could be 1.2 billion refugees in next 30 years. Many will be from my part of the world — Africa — where droughts, conflict, and food insecurity already threaten millions. The evidence shows the 'next Afghanistan' is not in the Middle East but in Africa, specifically West Africa, where religious violence, political corruption, weak states, and the devastating impacts of climate change have combined to create an unprecedente...

Dat financiële instellingen mee verantwoordelijk zijn voor mensenrechtenschendingen, klimaatverandering en natuurvernietiging is bekend, schrijft MO*ontwikkelaar Wies Willems. Het is dan ook wraakroepend dat de sector erin slaagt om te ontsnappen aan nieuwe Europese duurzaamheidsregels.

Met tweehonderd per dag zijn ze. Diersoorten die uitsterven. Op de de VN-biodiversiteitsconferentie die op 7 december in Montreal begint, zullen leiders zich over dit razendsnelle verlies aan soorten buigen. Maar zullen ze het aandurven tot in de kern van de crisis door te dringen?, vraagt columniste Tine Hens zich af.

De Colombiaanse journaliste Erika González brengt met de documentaire De Illusie van Overvloed een aangrijpend portret van drie vrouwen op de barricades tegen de onstilbare honger van multinationals in Latijns-Amerika. MO* sprak met haar en twee Braziliaanse activisten uit de film.

António Guterres says gap between developed world and poorer countries is biggest issue facing Cop27 talks

Textielverf is een van de meest schadelijke componenten van de kledingindustrie. Duurzame ondernemers blikken terug op het verleden om alternatieven te zoeken voor synthetische kleurstoffen. Zelf kan je aan de slag met voedselresten of met onkruid of gebladerte langs de weg. ‘Achter elke kleur schuilt een heel proces, maar dat zijn we kennelijk vergeten.’

The destruction of global forests slowed in 2021 but the vital climate goal of ending deforestation by 2030 will still be missed without urgent action, according to an assessment. The area razed in 2021 fell by 6.3% after progress in some countries, notably Indonesia. But almost 7m hectares were lost and the destruction of the most carbon- and biodiversity-rich tropical rainforests fell by only 3%. The CO2 emissions resulting from the lost trees were equivalent to the emissions of the entire European Union plus Japan.

Volgens Maarten Boudry zijn klimaatactivisten een grotere bedreiging voor onze planeet dan klimaatontkenners. Om dat te staven maakt hij gebruik van zogenaamde ecomodernistische oplossingen, die in feite hopeloos ouderwets zijn: kerncentrales en CO2-taks. Zijn vooruitgangsoptimisme eindigt waar kritiek op het kapitalisme begint.

Une boîte à outils pour atterrir - Outil pédagogique

Des Ukrainiens prétendument maquillés en blessés pour les photos, des massacres qui seraient des scènes pour le cinéma, un président filmé sur fond vert… La propagande du Kremlin use de toutes les ficelles pour nier les faits qui les embarrassent.

De EU profileert zich met haar Green Deal graag als wereldkampioen duurzaamheid en mensenrechten. Maar in de gesprekken over een internationaal verdrag dat de straffeloosheid van multinationals aan banden moet leggen, blijft ze al acht jaar aanmodderen. Die spreidstand wordt stilaan heel pijnlijk, schrijft MO*ontwikkelaar Wies Willems.

Op 22 augustus lag de marktprijs voor aardgas bij de Duitse gasnetbeheerder THB (Trading Hub Europe) meer dan 1000% hoger dan een jaar geleden. De meeste Duitsers krijgen van de regering Scholz te horen dat de schuld ligt bij Poetin en diens oorlog in Oekraïne. Maar dat is ver bezijden de waarheid. EU-politici en belangrijke financiële belangen gebruiken Rusland als dekmantel voor wat eigenlijk een energiecrisis van Duitse en Brusselse makelij is. De gevolgen zijn dan ook geen toeval.

Les ministres européens de l’énergie se réunissent en urgence, vendredi, pour faire face à une flambée historique des tarifs.

This Southern Ocean warming and its associated impacts are effectively irreversible on human time scales, because it takes millennia for heat trapped deep in the ocean to be released back into the atmosphere. This means changes happening now will be felt for generations to come – and those changes are only set to get worse, unless we can stop carbon dioxide emissions and achieve net zero.

De omslag naar een klimaatneutrale samenleving is nog te veel een initiatief van het individu. Dat kan anders, meent armoede-expert Tim Goedemé. We moeten systematisch, wijk per wijk, mensen helpen om de overstap te maken. 'Een democratie, daar moet je actief aan werken. We beseffen dat soms te weinig.’

Ze is de dochter van een koning, maar prinses Esmeralda neemt geen blad voor de mond. De standbeelden van Leopold II moeten weg, vindt ze, en voor het klimaat wil ze wel even in de cel zitten. ‘Ik dacht: ik laat ze mij gewoon oppakken.’

In de achtertuin van het grootste Amazondepot ter wereld vrezen bewoners voor hun leven. De luchtvervuiling in California, waar vier op de tien Amerikaanse pakjes passeren, is zodanig hoog, dat het niet meer veilig is om in te ademen. Bouwplannen voor nieuwe depots strooien zout in die wonde. “De meest kwetsbare mensen zullen het meeste impact ondervinden.”

Longtermism is a perspective that there is a moral reason to consider how the actions and decisions we take today affect the lives of huge numbers of future people.

On June 30, 2022, the Supreme Court issued a landmark opinion in West Virginia v. EPA that substantially limited the authority of the Environmental Protection Agency (the EPA) to regulate carbon emissions from power plants. Because the opinion concerned the proper scope of executive agency rulemaking, the decision may have profound effects on other regulatory agencies, including the Securities and Exchange Commission.

Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or even eventual human extinction? At present, this is a dangerously underexplored topic. Yet there are ample reasons to suspect that climate change could result in a global catastrophe...

Blistering heatwaves are just the start. We must accept how bad things are before can we head off global catastrophe, according to a leading UK scientist.

School and university students all over the world are planning to take school strikes one step further and occupy our campuses to demand the end of the fossil economy. Taking a lesson from student activists in the 1960s, the climate justice movement’s youth will shut down business as usual. Not because we don’t like learning, but because what we’ve learned already makes it clear that, without a dramatic break from this system, we cannot ensure a livable planet for our presents and futures.

Mainstream energy analysts then and now assume that technology will continue to overcome resource limits in the immediate future, which is all that really seems to matter. Much of what is left of the peak oil discussion focuses on “peak demand”—i.e., the question of when electric cars will become so plentiful that we’ll no longer need so much gasoline. Nevertheless, those who’ve engaged with the oil depletion literature have tended to come away with a few useful insights....

De oorlog is het slechts mogelijke scenario voor het klimaat, waarschuwen Ineos Will Fall, Climaxi, Youth for Climate, Grootouders voor het klimaat en andere klimaatorganisaties. Daarom roepen ze op voor diplomatieke oplossingen van Europa en om niet te kiezen voor een boycot van enkel Russisch gas.

La hausse globale des températures conduit de nombreux animaux sauvages à se rapprocher des régions densément peuplées d’humains. Une nouvelle modélisation de cette dynamique quantifie les risques associés d’émergence de nouvelles maladies infectieuses.

Mapping where the earth will become uninhabitable Lethal heat, flooded coastlines, powerful hurricanes, water scarcity: climate models show that by the end of the century, life as normal won’t be possible in many places. Find out where populations are projected to be hit hardest with our 3D interactive visualisation.

Three former UN climate heads say gap between government promises and actions will change environment irreversibly

Het hof van beroep in Brussel heeft vandaag bevestigd dat de Vlaamse overheid wel degelijk dwangsommen moet betalen wegens het niet respecteren van de Europese regelgeving inzake luchtvervuiling. Dit is het voorlopige eindpunt van een rechtszaak die Greenpeace bijna vijf jaar geleden is gestart. Met het geld van de dwangsommen zal Greenpeace een fonds oprichten om lokale projecten voor een betere luchtkwaliteit en een gezonde leefomgeving te ondersteunen.

Exclusive: Nearly half existing facilities will need to close prematurely to limit heating to 1.5C, scientists say

Restaurant menus across the West Coast of Canada will soon see an influx of squid and sardine dishes, while the popular sockeye salmon makes a slow exit. As it turns out, climate change may have something to do with this.

When people talk about ways to slow climate change, they often mention trees, and for good reason. Forests take up a large amount of the planet-warming carbon dioxide that people put into the atmosphere when they burn fossil fuels. But will trees keep up that pace as global temperatures rise? With companies increasingly investing in forests as offsets, saying it cancels out their continuing greenhouse gas emissions, that’s a multibillion-dollar question.

Oil and gas majors are planning scores of vast projects that threaten to shatter the 1.5C climate goal. If governments do not act, these firms will continue to cash in as the world burns

The focus of the opening day of the 17th session of the United Nations Forum on Forests (UNFF17) was a High-Level Roundtable on the UNFF response to, role in, and expectations from forest-related multilateral developments. Members of the Forum also started providing updates on their actions in support of the three UNFF thematic priorities for 2021-2022; these will continue on Tuesday.

The fifteenth session of the Conference of the Parties (COP15) of the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD) will take place in Abidjan, Côte d’Ivoire, from 9 to 20 May 2022.

A liquified natural gas (LNG) crisis is brewing for European countries dealing with energy insecurity in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, as demand will outstrip supply by the end of this year, Rystad Energy research shows. Although soaring demand has spurred the greatest rush of new LNG projects worldwide in more than a decade, construction timelines mean material relief is unlikely only after 2024. Global LNG demand is expected to hit 436 million tonnes in 2022, outpacing the available supply of just 410 million tonnes. A perfect winter storm may be forming for Europe as the continent seeks to limit Russian gas flows. The supply imbalance and high prices will set the scene for the most bullish environment for LNG projects in more than a decade, although supply from these projects will only arrive and provide relief from after 2024 The European Union’s REPowerEU plan has set an ambitious target to reduce dependence on Russian gas by 66% within this year – an aim that will clash with the EU’s goal of

A new survey from YouGov asked Americans for their thoughts on climate change, including what they believe its potential impacts could be and whether they believe they and their country are doing enough to tackle climate change. The findings suggest that most Americans anticipate dire consequences to climate change, but many believe there are still ways to avoid the worst of it. 

Stephanie Lamy, autrice d’« Agora toxica », analyse le mode de fonctionnement de la propagande russe et ses principales ficelles.

Germany is bracing for supplies to be cut by Moscow in retaliation for sanctions or as part of an energy embargo

Armed conflict between the world’s two superpowers, while not yet inevitable, has become a real possibility. The 2020s will be the decade of living dangerously

Les images de corps de civils dans les rues ont suscité de vives réactions internationales, et interrogent sur de possibles crimes de guerre russe, dans cette ville comme dans d’autres, que nie la Russie.

An analysis of satellite images by The New York Times rebuts claims by Russia that the killing of civilians in Bucha, a suburb of Kyiv, occurred after its soldiers had left the town. When images emerged over the weekend of the bodies of dead civilians lying on the streets of Bucha — some with their hands bound, some with gunshot wounds to the head — Russia’s Ministry of Defense denied responsibility. In a Telegram post on Sunday, the ministry suggested that the bodies had been recently placed on the streets after “all Russian units withdrew completely from Bucha” around March 30.

It is vital Moscow understands that escalation will not be risk-free, and expects a proportionate response

Depuis 2012, la Russie soumet un texte dénonçant la « glorification du nazisme ». Les pays occidentaux accusent le Kremlin de manipuler l’histoire pour justifier son expansionnisme.

The Ukrainian crisis has revived an old debate: how to effectively sanction a state like Russia? Let’s say it straight away: it is time to imagine a new type of sanction focused on the oligarchs who have prospered thanks to the regime in question. This will require the establishment of an international financial register, which will not be to the liking of western fortunes, whose interests are much more closely linked to those of the Russian and Chinese oligarchs than is sometimes claimed. However, it is at this price that western countries will succeed in winning the political and moral battle against the autocracies and in demonstrating to the world that the resounding speeches on democracy and justice are not simply empty words.

New research suggests 75% of the rainforest has become less resilient to stress since the early 2000s.

Du haut de ses cent ans, le sociologue dénonce « un somnambulisme généralisé », analogue en tant qu’inconscience à celui qu’il a connu de 1933 à 1940.

If the Russians are ever to withdraw, then a diplomatic agreement on the terms of withdrawal will be necessary. So what should the demands be?

At the beginning of nearly every war including the current one in Ukraine, there are those who loudly declare that it will be over shortly and then business-as-usual can resume. They are rarely right. While no one can say for certain what the trajectory of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will be, the economic warfare that is going on alongside it is very likely to destroy the current global trading system.

Russia’s military offensive against Ukraine is an act of aggression that will make already worrisome tensions between Nato and Moscow even more dangerous. The west’s new cold war with Russia has turned hot. Vladimir Putin bears primary responsibility for this latest development, but Nato’s arrogant, tone‐​deaf policy toward Russia over the past quarter‐​century deserves a large share as well. Analysts committed to a US foreign policy of realism and restraint have warned for more than a quarter‐​century that continuing to expand the most powerful military alliance in history toward another major power would not end well. The war in Ukraine provides definitive confirmation that it did not.

On Sunday, Vladimir Putin ordered his nuclear deterrent forces to be placed on a “special regime of combat duty”. The Russian defence minister, Sergei Shoigu, has now clarified what this meant: the increased manpower devoted to Russia’s strategic nuclear triad: land-based strategic nuclear rocket forces, sea-based nuclear deterrents in the northern and Pacific fleets and its fleet of long-range strategic bomber aircraft that can carry nuclear weapons.

The frightful noise of gunfire, bombing and children’s screams in the cities of Ukraine reverberates across Europe. The full-scale Russian invasion launched last week is an unprovoked, heinous crime perpetrated against Ukraine’s citizens, their sovereign democratic state and all the free peoples of the world. The 24th of February is a day that will live in infamy. It will not be forgiven. It will surely never be forgotten.

On 28 February, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), a United Nations body solely dedicated to looking at the science behind climate change, will release a major report on the impacts of the climate crisis and why it is imperative that we act now to address the growing risks. The report, which focuses on Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability, is expected to detail how climate impacts are already wreaking havoc in every part of the world and how, without much bolder action, more lives will be lost and more livelihoods destroyed. The report will look at challenges and solutions for addressing these risks and minimizing vulnerability unique to the world’s regions, cities and other habitats.

Why do we always make the same mistake? Oh, that’s only trouble in the Balkans, we say – and then an assassination in Sarajevo sparks the first world war. Oh, Adolf Hitler’s threat to Czechoslovakia is “a quarrel in a faraway country, between people of whom we know nothing” – and then we find ourselves in the second world war. Oh, Joseph Stalin’s takeover of distant Poland after 1945 is none of our business – and soon enough we have the cold war. Now we have done it again, not waking up until it is too late to the full implications of Vladimir Putin’s seizure of Crimea in 2014. And so, on Thursday 24 February 2022, we stand here again, clothed in nothing but the shreds of our lost illusions.

There’s a new horse race in 2022. It’s one that we would rather lose than win. If our analysis is right, the world will probably blow through the 1.5°C global warming ceiling this decade; if we’re wrong, it could be delayed a decade. We argue[1],[2] that the apparent acceleration of global warming in the past decade is driven by an acceleration in the growth rate of human-made climate forcings, especially reduced human-made aerosol cooling – an effect that is not going away and may grow.

To this day, the demand for metals has kept increasing. The energy transition necessary to meet climate objectives will add to that demand during the upcoming decades, for low-carbon energy technologies require larger metal quantities than their fossil-fuel based counterparts. This frequently raises concerns over the actual capacity of geological stocks to meet demand at scale, which we investigate in the present analysis.

Egypt’s Minister of Environment Yasmine Fouad and Minister of Agriculture and Land Reclamation El-Sayed El-Kosayer met on Sunday to discuss preparations for the Conference of the Parties on Climate Change (COP 27), which Egypt will be hosting in Sharm El-Sheikh this year.

A chunk of Antarctic ice that was one of the biggest icebergs ever seen has met its end near South Georgia. Scientists will be studying its effects on the ecosystem around the island for some time.

Oil companies love to tell the world about the super cool technologies that have that will allow us to keep burning fossil fuels without cooking the climate. But those technologies are largely bullshit.

Een officiële studie berekent dat China in de volgende 30 jaar liefst 75.000 miljard dollar zal uitgeven op weg om in 2060 koolstofneutraal te worden. Die enorme investeringen zullen niet alleen op het klimaat maar ook op de economie een positieve invloed hebben.

The Keeling Curve is an iconic graph showing how levels of carbon dioxide (CO2) have been building up in the atmosphere, driving an increase in global temperatures.

Welke rol krijgt mijnbouw in het Chili van de pas verkozen president Gabriel Boric? MO*Ontwikkelaar Wies Willems maakt de analyse. ‘Boric wil de transitie inzetten naar een ontwikkelingsmodel dat niet ten koste gaat van het milieu en lokale gemeenschappen. Maar hoe zal Boric omgaan met de machtige mijnbouwlobby?’

Chiffres mal compris, montages mensongers ou pures affabulations… les infox et autres rumeurs se propagent sur les réseaux sociaux et les sites conspirationnistes, à la faveur de cette cinquième vague de Covid-19.

The founder and director of Foxconn, the world’s largest contract manufacturer of electronics, Terry Gou, has said that “there will be a shortage of electricity in the next year.” Gou added that “people should not complain about the future lack of electricity.” Instead, they should “prepare”.

Des millions d’années d’évolution ont doté les oiseaux d’une multitude d’instincts solides. Ils ont maîtrisé l’art du vol, et de nombreuses espèces parcourent des milliers de kilomètres lorsque les saisons changent, retournant infailliblement, encore et encore, dans un refuge lointain où le contexte climatique est serein. Mais plus que tout, les oiseaux savent qu’il ne faut pas chier dans leur propre nid. C’est un instinct que le président des Etats-Unis n’a pas encore développé. Et le monde entier pourrait en payer le prix fort.

Poland is planning to build a wall along its border with Belarus, primarily to block migrants fleeing the Middle East and Asia. But the wall would also divide the vast and ancient Białowieża Forest, a UNESCO World Heritage site which harbours more than 12,000 animal species and includes the largest remnants of primeval forest that once covered most of lowland Europe.

Met het Boerenforum struinen we door de eisenpakketten en willen we onze collega's steunen. Maar we willen ook nuance. We willen geen doldraaiend landbouwmodel dat de grenzen van de planeet verpulvert en onze collega's in het Zuiden op droog brood zet. Wij, de boeren en boerinnen die mee sleutelen aan onze organisatie en aan een duurzaam landbouwmodel, wij willen een eerlijk landbouwbeleid.

The UK government has proposed some worrying amendments to its already draconian policing bill. The amendments will directly target environmental activists and are a response to direct action protests from groups such as Extinction Rebellion and Insulate Britain, and protests against the HS2 high speed railway.

Des rumeurs de lépreux empoisonneurs de puits aux accusations contre les minorités religieuses, les historiens constatent la persistance de récits accusatoires comparables.

Le charbon est la pire des énergies qui soit à notre disposition, la plus destructrice et de loin. Voici pourquoi.

Jonge activisten geven wereldwijd met nieuwe ideeën een impuls aan de milieubeweging. Alleen: gevestigde organisaties zitten daar niet altijd op te wachten. Terwijl jongeren net bruggenbouwers kunnen zijn, vinden twee jonge ecofeministes. 'Jongeren in pakweg Colombia, Zuid-Afrika en Zwitserland vinden het heel normaal om projecten op te zetten met elkaar.'

The Australian Bureau of Meteorology has declared a La Niña weather event is under way, with modelling predicting it “will persist until the late southern hemisphere summer or early autumn 2022”.

Emerging ice-sheet modeling suggests once initiated, retreat of the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) can continue for centuries. Unfortunately, the short observational record cannot resolve the tipping points, rate of change, and timescale of responses. Iceberg-rafted debris data from Iceberg Alley identify eight retreat phases after the Last Glacial Maximum that each destabilized the AIS within a decade, contributing to global sea-level rise for centuries to a millennium, which subsequently re-stabilized equally rapidly.

Vous êtes locataire ? Vous habitez dans un appartement ? Le toit de votre maison ne peut accueillir de panneaux photovoltaïques ? Que diriez-vous d'utiliser l'électricité produite par les panneaux de votre voisin ?

Le terme "écocide" vient du grec οἶκος, qui signifie "maison" ou "habitat" et du latin occidere, qui veut dire "tuer". Littéralement, l'écocide signifie donc "tuer la mai- son". Le dictionnaire Larousse définit le terme comme un acte de "destruction totale d'un milieu naturel".

Zaterdag zakten enkele honderden klimaatactivisten van Extinction Rebellion naar Brussel om de Wetstraat te bezetten en zo de desastreuze politieke respons op de ecologische crisis aan te klagen. Met deze actie van geweldloze burgerlijke ongehoorzaamheid wilde de beweging woede uitdrukken na jaren van betogen, klimaatspijbelen en petities ondertekenen.

And yet, their leaders continue to avoid making strong commitments on climate action. Heatwaves, droughts, fires and floods will increase in severity and frequency, creating risk and instability for today’s G20 growth models. Most G20 countries share one trait: long and densely populated coastlines, replete with vital infrastructure that will, over time, stand in the way of dangerous turbulence.

As a leading climate scientist, Paola Arias doesn’t need to look far to see the world changing. Shifting rain patterns threaten water supplies in her home city of Medellín, Colombia, while rising sea levels endanger the country’s coastline. She isn’t confident that international leaders will slow global warming or that her own government can handle the expected fallout, such as mass migrations and civil unrest over rising inequality. With such an uncertain future, she thought hard several years ago about whether to have children.

Here you can find out how many more climate extremes you will face across your lifetime relative to a world without climate change. The results are based on solid science.

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A l’approche de la COP26, le prince William a remis dimanche soir la première édition du prix Earthshot, récompensant le Costa Rica, la ville de Milan ou encore une société indienne engagée contre la pollution de l’air pour leurs solutions à la crise climatique.

The UN Conference of the Parties (COP26) for the Framework Convention on Climate Change will be in Glasgow 1-12 November. There is a chance that Boris Johnson, UK Prime Minister and meeting host, might make this COP more effective than prior COPs, as discussed below.

L’effet rebond et le paradoxe de Jevons expliqués simplement ! Au programme : William Stanley Jevons, paradoxe de Jevons pour le charbon, effet rebond dans les transports, le logement et le numérique, et effet rebond indirect !

Picture a plastic bowl. Put a large piece of ice in it—one tall enough that it rises high above the bowl’s rim. Now melt the ice. The bowl will catch most of the water, but not all of it. Since the ice is tall, the bowl will reach full capacity before the block melts completely. With no place else to go, the extra water will spill over the lip and onto the counter.

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Since 1988, humans have destroyed an area of rainforest roughly the size of Texas and New Mexico combined

Vital United Nations climate talks, billed as one of the last chances to stave off climate breakdown, will not produce the breakthrough needed to fulfil the aspiration of the Paris agreement, key players in the talks have conceded.

People born in 2020 will have to face between two and seven times more extreme climate-related events over their lifetimes than people born in 1960, according to estimates from a new study.

This article argues that resource and logistical constraints weighing on low-carbon energy and CO2 capture technologies are likely to pave the way for geo-engineering solutions such as Stratospheric Aerosol Injection (SAI), which demand negligible land, material, and energy inputs. This “climate transition without carbon transition”, though technically feasible, is far from being that simple, raising a whole new set of environmental risks as well as geopolitical, institutional, and ethical issues.

Today, the European Court of Justice stated that EU energy companies will no longer be allowed to sue EU governments using the Energy Charter Treaty – throwing into doubt a number of ongoing billion-euro arbitrations.

Zeven miljard ton regen: zoveel water viel er afgelopen maand op drie dagen tijd op Groenland, de hevigste regenval sinds de metingen begonnen in 1950. Het was ook de eerste keer dat er regen viel, en geen sneeuw, op de hoogste piek van Groenland.

Scientists are hopeful that the National Ignition Facility’s recent success will advance understanding of thermonuclear reactions.

Global weather is constantly in motion. The Southern Hemisphere is currently in Winter, and strong weather patterns will start a warming event in its Stratosphere. These events are rare, but powerful, having historically been strong enough to affect the entire globe.

Campaign group Extinction Rebellion has begun what it describes as two weeks of climate protests in London. It says its "Impossible Rebellion" will "target the root cause of the climate and ecological crisis".

Increase means country will slip back from goal of cutting emissions by 40% from 1990 levels

The Gulf Stream has weakened substantially in the past decades, as new data and studies show. Weather in the United States and Europe depends strongly on this ocean current, so it’s important we understand the ongoing changes and what they will mean for our weather in the future.

There are significant causes for concern regarding the content of oxygen in the ocean, however. The ocean’s O2 reservoir is vulnerable because it holds less than 1% of the oxygen stored in the atmosphere. In particular, ocean regions with very low or absent oxygen, referred to as oxygen minimum zones, expand as the planet warms,