Intempéries

Climate scientists have told the Guardian they expect catastrophic levels of global heating. Here’s what that would mean for the planet

Global warming is accelerating because the drive for warming, Earth’s energy imbalance, has doubled in the past decade. Measurement of the acceleration is hampered by unforced tropical (El Nino/La Nina) variability, but a good measuring stick is provided by warming between successive large El Ninos. Strengthening of the current (2023-24) El Nino has raised it to a level similar to the 1997-98 and 2015-16 El Ninos. The first six months of the current El Nino are 0.39°C warmer than the same six months of the 2015-16 El Nino, a global warming rate of 0.49°C/decade, consistent with expectation of a large acceleration of global warming. We expect the 12-month mean temperature by May 2024 to eliminate any doubt about global warming acceleration. Subsequent decline of the 12-month temperature below 1.5°C will likely be limited, confirming that the 1.5°C limit has already been passed.

Unearthly skies and unhealthy air resulting from Canadian wildfires may persist for days.

Humanity is not on track to avoid the deadliest effects of climate change, according to University at Buffalo researcher Holly Jean Buck. "Our plans are not adequate to meet the goal of limiting the Earth's temperature increase to no more than 1.5℃ by 2050," said Buck, Ph.D., assistant professor of environment and sustainability....

We investigate the potential implications of large language models (LLMs), such as Generative Pretrained Transformers (GPTs), on the U.S. labor market, focusing on the increased capabilities arising from LLM-powered software compared to LLMs on their own. Using a new rubric, we assess occupations based on their alignment with LLM capabilities, integrating both human expertise and GPT-4 classifications. Our findings reveal that around 80% of the U.S. workforce could have at least 10% of their work tasks affected by the introduction of LLMs, while approximately 19% of workers may see at least 50% of their tasks impacted. We do not make predictions about the development or adoption timeline of such LLMs. The projected effects span all wage levels, with higher-income jobs potentially facing greater exposure to LLM capabilities and LLM-powered software. Significantly, these impacts are not restricted to industries with higher recent productivity growth. Our analysis suggests that, with access to an LLM, about 15%

In the U.K., Extinction Rebellion is shifting to a more moderate strategy in 2023. It could mark a tone shift for the climate movement.

For a small but growing network of countries, the world's go-to metric of economic health is no longer fit for purpose. Finland, Iceland, Scotland, Wales and New Zealand are all members of the Wellbeing Economy Governments partnership. The coalition, which is expected to expand in the coming months, aims to transform economies around the world to deliver shared well-being for people and the planet by 2040.

Climate disorder won’t be remedied through an orderly march of green energy. The world must also rein in consumption.

I became a climate activist 16 years ago. Back then, not many people cared about climate change. The eye rolls were audible. Media coverage was scarce, and what little there was glibly included “both sides”. It was frustrating and tragic to see such a clear and present danger and to know that it was still mostly avoidable, yet ignored by society.

Il existe un sentiment inédit, et répandu chez les plus jeunes, d’être né géo-prolétaire, c’est-à-dire quelqu’un dont les générations précédentes ont accaparé non pas la force de travail, mais le futur vivable sur la Terre.

In drie videos van telkens 5 minuten geeft Lode Vanoost een historisch overzicht van de klimaatbeweging van de jaren 1960 tot vandaag, met als besluit een blik op de toekomst voor jong en oud en de suggestie van een goed boek over de strijd voor het klimaat. Bekijk hier de tweede aflevering van onze reeks Looking back, looking forward - Klimaatactie over de jaren heen, waarin Lode Vanoost dieper ingaat op het ontstaan en de groei van de groene partijen.

In drie video's van telkens 5 minuten geeft Lode Vanoost een historisch overzicht van de klimaatbeweging van de jaren 1960 tot vandaag, met als besluit een blik op de toekomst voor jong en oud en de suggestie van een goed boek over de strijd voor het klimaat. Bekijk hier de eerste aflevering.

Nature-based initiatives, such as planting mangroves and revitalizing wetlands, have proven effective in making communities more resilient to climate change. But international funding has shortchanged such solutions in favor of more costly and less efficient engineering projects.

If the Russians are ever to withdraw, then a diplomatic agreement on the terms of withdrawal will be necessary. So what should the demands be?

Toen Georgia Whitaker deze kerstvakantie in de zetel kroop voor een gezellig avondje met de film Don’t Look Up, verwachtte ze een dure, middelmatige komedie met een sterrencast – een beetje als Love Actually. Maar na afloop voelde ze zich verrassend opgelucht. In deze blog legt ze uit waarom.

Comme le Docteur Randall Mindy dans Don’t Look Up, Jean Jouzel a lui aussi dû se battre contre les sceptiques. Non pas ceux qui refusaient de croire à l’arrivée d’une comète sur Terre, comme dans l’intrigue du film de Netflix, mais ceux qui doutent du réchauffement climatique.

Analyse argumentée basée sur un retour d’expérience international, portant sur plusieurs sujets d’actualité : Caractère prédateur et dangereux · Techniques minières · Déversements volontaires en milieux aquatiques · Anciens sites miniers

Fresh emissions targets from Saudi Arabia and Australia – two of the world’s largest fossil-fuel producers – are due to arrive just in time for global climate talks in Glasgow. These would commit the two countries to reducing domestic emissions to net zero by around mid-century – though both are expected to continue exporting fossil fuels for decades to come.

The enormous, unprecedented pain and turmoil caused by the climate crisis is often discussed alongside what can seem like surprisingly small temperature increases – 1.5C or 2C hotter than it was in the era just before the car replaced the horse and cart.