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Luke Kemp
Luke is a research associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk at the University of Cambridge, and has spent the past five years studying the collapse of civilisations throughout history. He joins me to explain his research, detailing the difference between complex, collective civilisations and what he calls “Goliaths”, massive centralising forces by which a small group of individuals extract wealth from the rest through domination and the threat of violence. Today, he says, we live in a global Goliath. In this astounding conversation, Luke takes us from the Ancient times to the modern day, revealing the root causes of collapse and paralleling them what we’re living through today. He explains the egalitarian nature of our species, and shines new light on what a future could look like free from today’s global Goliath. He reminds us all that we tend to view collapse through the eyes of the 1%, those who have the most to lose, and gives startling accounts of how populations bounced back after thei
For the first 300,000 years of human history, hunter-gathering Homo sapiens lived in fluid, egalitarian civilizations that thwarted any individual or group from ruling permanently. Then, around 12,000 years ago, that began to change.
Dr Luke Kemp is a Research Associate at the Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge. He has a PhD in international relations from the ANU and previous experience as a senior economist at Vivid Economics. This episode explores catastrophic and extinction risk, why the topic is understudied, and how we can weigh out the catastrophic risks of climate change and solar geo-engineering.
Today, Nate is joined by Luke Kemp, a researcher whose work is focused on existential risks (or X-risks), which encompass threats of human extinction, societal collapse, and dystopian futures. How can we begin to understand the likelihood and gravity of these ruinous events, and what kinds of responses from people and governments could further undermine social cohesion and resilience? What roles do human biases, hierarchical power structures, and the development of technologies, like artificial intelligence and geoengineering, play in X-risks? How can we collaborate across industries to protect our modern systems through effective risk management strategies? And in what ways do our institutions need to become more inclusive to better democratize decision-making processes, leading to safer futures for humanity?
Un travail colossal a amené un chercheur à dresser un bilan anxiogène de notre système. D’après ses études, si les inégalités ne sont pas enrayées, un effondrement sociétal mondial est à prévoir prochainement.
Societal downfalls loom large in history and popular culture but, for the 99 per cent, collapse often had its upsides
Luke Kemp, expert en risques globaux à l’Université de Cambridge, vient de publier Goliath’s Curse, un livre qui jette une lumière crue sur la fragilité du monde contemporain. Après avoir étudié plus de 400 sociétés anciennes sur une période de 5 000 ans, il identifie des mécanismes récurrents d’effondrement
« La malédiction de Goliath : brève histoire et avenir de l’effondrement sociétal. » Retrouvez une conférence de Luke Kemp du 8 Septembre 2022 à Princeton; cette conférence correspond à la première partie du livre "La malédiction de Goliath" qui vient de sortir chez Penguin Books (en anglais)
Les scénarios de réchauffement terrestre supérieurs à 3 °C et leurs conséquences cataclysmiques doivent être plus étudiés, recommandent des scientifiques dans une étude parue le 1ᵉʳ août.
Studying the demise of historic civilisations can tell us about the risk we face today, says collapse expert Luke Kemp. Worryingly, the signs are worsening.


