Jean-Pascal Van Ypersele

For around 2,000 years, global sea levels varied little. That changed in the 20th century. They started rising and have not stopped since — and the pace is accelerating. Scientists are scrambling to understand what this means for the future just as President Trump strips back agencies tasked with monitoring the oceans.

Previous health impact assessments of temperature-related mortality in Europe indicated that the mortality burden attributable to cold is much larger than for heat. Questions remain as to whether climate change can result in a net decrease in temperature-related mortality. In this study, we estimated how climate change could affect future heat-related and cold-related mortality in 854 European urban areas, under several climate, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We showed that, with no adaptation to heat, the increase in heat-related deaths consistently exceeds any decrease in cold-related deaths across all considered scenarios in Europe. Under the lowest mitigation and adaptation scenario (SSP3-7.0), we estimate a net death burden due to climate change increasing by 49.9% and cumulating 2,345,410 (95% confidence interval = 327,603 to 4,775,853) climate change-related deaths between 2015 and 2099. This net effect would remain positive even under high adaptation scenarios, whereby a risk attenuation of 50%

For those trying to pay attention in our post-truth, post fact-checking brave new world that has such misinformation systems in it, Dr. Rees is a source to consider. The link: Climate Change, Overshoot and the Demise of Large Cities: Why large cities will need to contract or be abandoned altogether

A town hit hard by two hurricanes, downpours and a deep freeze, all in the midst of a pandemic, offers crucial lessons for everyone’s disaster planning and recovery.

Climate scientists have told the Guardian they expect catastrophic levels of global heating. Here’s what that would mean for the planet

EUCityCalc has officially launched its free, open source online platform that allows local councils and other stakeholders to visualise and simulate low-carbon scenarios for their towns and cities, as well as to assess the trade-offs related to available choices.

De recente verwoestende overstromingen in Peking hebben het Chinese “Sponge Cities Project” danig op de proef gesteld. Hoewel de hoofdstad onder het project extreme regenval zou moeten aankunnen, lieten tientallen mensen het leven en moest een gloednieuwe “sponsluchthaven” sluiten.

Meer dan de helft van burgemeesters van grote Europese steden geeft klimaatactie de allerhoogste prioriteit. Dat blijkt uit de resultaten van de Eurocities Pulse-enquête waarin 92 burgemeesters uit 28 landen in Europa werden bevraagd.

Dans cet épisode, nous allons essayer de nous focaliser sur deux crises actuelles, la crise sociétale et la crise environnementale. Nous sommes fin mars, d’un côté la synthèse du dernier rapport du GIEC vient de sortir tirant pour une dernière fois la sonnette d’alarme. D’un autre côté, les grèves qui réclament de meilleures conditions de travail et de retraite. Jusqu’à présent ces deux enjeux étaient bien distincts. Les bobos citadin.e.s d’un côté, des travailleurs et travailleuses de métiers pénibles et essentiels de l’autre. Mais est-ce qu’en réalité la fin du monde et la fin du mois sont le même combat ? Je vous propose d’explorer cette question via le prisme de la décroissance. Un concept qui peut paraître polarisant mais qui pourrait également devenir un concept de société fédérateur.

Heat and cold are now established health risk factors, with several studies reporting important mortality effects in populations around the world.1, 2, 3 The associated health burden is expected to increase with climate change, especially under the most extreme scenarios of global warming.4, 5 However, robust estimates of excess mortality in the current and future periods are still challenging to obtain due to the numerous factors influencing vulnerability to heat and cold, including climatic, environmental, and socioeconomic conditions.6 These factors represent the main drivers of variation in mortality risks, which have been shown to differ geographically and across age groups.