No collapswashing

Earth for all – a survival guide for humanity est un rapport au club de Rome1 de 2022, dont l’ambition est d’engager le système économique sur une voie résiliente et équitable pou…

Human pressures have pushed the Earth system deep into the Anthropocene, threatening its stability, resilience and functioning. The Planetary Boundaries (PB) framework emerged against these threats, setting safe levels to the biophysical systems and processes that, with high likelihood, ensure life-supporting Holocene-like conditions. In this Review, we synthesize PB advancements, detailing its emergence and mainstreaming across scientific disciplines and society. The nine PBs capture the key functions regulating the Earth system. The safe operating space has been transgressed for six of these. PB science is essential to prevent further Earth system risks and has sparked new research on the precision of safe boundaries. Human development within planetary boundaries defines sustainable development, informing advances in social sciences. Each PB translates to a finite budget that the world must operate within, requiring strengthened global governance. The PB framework has been adopted by businesses and informed

We are on the brink of an irreversible climate disaster. This is a global emergency beyond any doubt. Much of the very fabric of life on Earth is imperiled. We are stepping into a critical and unpredictable new phase of the climate crisis. For many years, scientists, including a group of more than 15,000, have sounded the alarm about the impending dangers of climate change driven by increasing greenhouse gas emissions and ecosystem change (Ripple et al. 2020).

Un des plus importants climatologues européens, Johan Rockström, a confirmé que le réchauffement s’accélère et que ses effets sont plus graves que prévu. Nous pourrions atteindre les 2°C dans 20 ans.

Les spécialistes du système terrestre et du climat commencent à s'inquiéter sérieusement. La planète change plus rapidement que prévu. Bien que nous ayons tiré la sonnette d'alarme pendant des années, nous constatons aujourd'hui que la planète se trouve en fait dans une situation où les risques sont sous-estimés. Des changements brutaux se produisent d'une manière qui dépasse largement les attentes réalistes de la science.

We're nearly halfway through the 2020s, dubbed the most decisive decade for action on climate change. Where exactly do things stand? Climate impact scholar Johan Rockström offers the most up-to-date scientific assessment of the state of the planet and explains what must be done to preserve Earth's resilience to human pressure.

The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1–3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are alrea

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Prudent risk management requires consideration of bad-to-worst-case scenarios. Yet, for climate change, such potential futures are poorly understood. Could anthropogenic climate change result in worldwide societal collapse or even eventual human extinction? At present, this is a dangerously underexplored topic. Yet there are ample reasons to suspect that climate change could result in a global catastrophe...

Avons-nous déjà passé des points de rupture ? Le rapport du GIEC ne le conclut pas. Mon évaluation est également que nous n’avons pas encore franchi un point de basculement majeur. Malheureusement, nous disposons de plus en plus de preuves scientifiques que nous nous en rapprochons, qu’il s’agisse de la déstabilisation de l’ouest de la calotte antarctique, de l’AMOC, de l’Arctique ou des récifs coralliens.

Het globale voedselsysteem is de belangrijkste oorzaak voor de ecologische crisis en de klimaatontregeling. Het duwt natuurlijke systemen tot voorbij de veilige grenzen voor de mensheid, schrijven Jeremy Coller van het investeerdersnetwerk FAIRR, hoogleraar Johan Rockström van het Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research en Gunhild Stordalen, oprichter van stichting EAT.

Our planet is no longer stable. Old certainties about the climate are evaporating as rising greenhouse gas emissions accelerate global warming.

The growing threat of abrupt and irreversible climate changes must compel political and economic action on emissions.

La menace croissante de changements climatiques abrupts et irréversibles doit contraindre à une action politique et économique sur les émissions.