No collapswashing

Je sais exactement où tu es assis(e) en ce moment. Tu regardes un graphique des températures de surface de l’Atlantique Nord, observant une ligne rouge s’envoler vers un territoire inconnu et terrifiant. Encore une donnée horrible qui confirme ce que tu sais déjà. Tu ressens cette chute familière et creuse dans ton estomac en prenant conscience de la réalité biophysique : les systèmes de la planète se désagrègent.

We must confront two stark realities about the end of our era. First, the collapse of our industrial civilization is already underway, manifesting as a slow, agonizing process of structural decay, economic exhaustion, and ecological overshoot. Second, this descent is terminal. We have permanently exhausted the physical prerequisites for any future technological reboot.

A Letter to the Newly Awake. I know exactly where you are sitting right now. You are staring at a chart of North Atlantic sea surface temperatures, watching a red line spike into uncharted, terrifying territory. Yet another horrible data point proving what you already know. You feel a familiar, hollow drop in your stomach as you register the biophysical reality: the planet’s systems are unraveling.

Beneath the surface of the Pacific, a massive pool of heat is preparing to reshape global weather patterns. Time is running out to prepare for a climate shock of unprecedented scale. As 2026 unfolds, the Pacific Ocean is priming a catastrophic El Niño that threatens to cripple global food systems, trigger widespread economic instability, and shatter planetary temperature records.

The critical Atlantic current system appears significantly more likely to collapse than previously thought after new research found that climate models predicting the biggest slowdown are the most realistic. Scientists called the new finding “very concerning” as a collapse would have catastrophic consequences for Europe, Africa and the Americas.

The world has become well versed in the importance of the strait of Hormuz to the world’s energy flows, but attention is increasingly turning to its vital role in another market – the fertiliser on which harvests depend. A third of the global trade in raw materials for fertiliser passes through the maritime choke point, which is also the route for 20% of shipments of natural gas, which is required to make it.

The fragility of the global food system fills me with dread – and the war with Iran has exposed just how close to collapse it is

The US was an oligarchy well before Trump’s first term. Recognizing this reality is essential to building a true democracy

Olivier De Schutter says new economic agenda needed to tackle crises of rising inequality and ecological collapse

The Gulf Stream is part of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). The AMOC is a tipping element and may collapse under changing forcing. However, the role of the Gulf Stream in such a tipping event is unknown. Here, we investigate the link between the AMOC and Gulf Stream using a high-resolution (0. 1°) stand-alone ocean simulation, in which the AMOC collapses under a slowly-increasing freshwater forcing. AMOC weakening gradually shifts the Gulf Stream near Cape Hatteras northward, followed by an abrupt northward displacement of 219 km within 2 years. This rapid shift occurs a few decades before the simulated AMOC collapse. Satellite altimetry shows a significant (1993–2024, p < 0.05) northward Gulf Stream trend near Cape Hatteras, which is also confirmed in subsurface temperature observations (1965–2024, p < 0.01). These findings provide indirect evidence for present-day AMOC weakening and demonstrate that abrupt Gulf Stream shifts can serve as early warning indicator for AMOC tipping.

L’humanité fait face à une bifurcation sans précédent dans son histoire et celle de la Terre. Espèce née de processus extrêmement complexes et globalement autorégulés, elle devient une force géologique qui peut rendre la planète inhabitable ou au contraire devenir une force régulatrice. Partie 1

I know it’s almost impossible to turn your eyes away from the Trump show, but that’s the point. His antics, ever-grosser and more preposterous, are designed to keep him in our minds, to crowd out other issues. His insatiable craving for attention is a global-threat multiplier. You can’t help wondering whether there’s anything he wouldn’t do to dominate the headlines.

States and financial bodies using modelling that ignores shocks from extreme weather and climate tipping points

Ecosystem destruction will increase food shortages, disorder and mass migration, with effects already being felt

Global biodiversity loss, ecosystem collapse and national security - A national security assessment

Notre ami Luke Kemp, chercheur au Centre pour l'étude du risque existentiel à l'Université de Cambridge (UK), a publié le livre Goliath’s Curse, the History and Future of Societal Collapse (Penguin, July 2025, 580 pages), qui sera édité en français par Albin Michel au printemps 2026. Cette « malédiction de Goliath » est le meilleur livre sur l’effondrement systémique mondial depuis dix ans, tant par la vision multidisciplinaire qu’il présente que par sa complétude et par son érudition.

Mon essai précédent explorait pourquoi certaines personnes perçoivent l’effondrement plus tôt que d’autres. Celui-ci pose une autre question : si l’effondrement ne peut pas être évité, à quoi sert réellement une prise de conscience précoce ?

Perception, pattern-seeking, and the role of neurodivergence in a failing civilisation

Glacial earthquakes are a special type of earthquake generated in cold, icy regions. First discovered in the northern hemisphere more than 20 years ago, these quakes occur when huge chunks of ice fall from glaciers into the sea. Until now, only a very few have been found in the Antarctic. In a new study soon to be published in Geophysical Research Letters, I present evidence for hundreds of these quakes in Antarctica between 2010 and 2023, mostly at the ocean end of the Thwaites Glacier – the so-called Doomsday Glacier that could send sea levels rising rapidly if it were to collapse.

UN GEO report says ending this harm key to global transformation required ‘before collapse becomes inevitable’