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Identifying the socio-economic drivers behind greenhouse gas emissions is crucial to design mitigation policies. Existing studies predominantly analyze short-term CO2 emissions from fossil fuels, neglecting long-term trends and other GHGs. We examine the drivers of all greenhouse gas emissions between 1820–2050 globally and regionally. The Industrial Revolution triggered sustained emission growth worldwide—initially through fossil fuel use in industrialized economies but also as a result of agricultural expansion and deforestation. Globally, technological innovation and energy mix changes prevented 31 (17–42) Gt CO2e emissions over two centuries. Yet these gains were dwarfed by 81 (64–97) Gt CO2e resulting from economic expansion, with regional drivers diverging sharply: population growth dominated in Latin America and Sub-Saharan Africa, while rising affluence was the main driver of emissions elsewhere. Meeting climate targets now requires the carbon intensity of GDP to decline 3 times faster than the global
This brief introduces degrowth – intentional downscaling of the global economy to achieve ecological sustainability and social justice – for people working in environmental and social advocacy. It centers the question: “Has the economy outgrown the planet?” because global ecological limits have reshaped the conditions under which we pursue climate action, environmental justice, and many other pressing aims.
Le 1er juin 2025, le Service de sécurité d'Ukraine (SBU) lance une opération transfrontalière en Russie, baptisée opération Toile d'araignée (en ukrainien Операція « Павутина », romanisée Operatsia « Pavoutyna »). Il s'agit de la plus vaste opération de ce type jamais menée à cette date, visant des infrastructures militaires situées au cœur du territoire russe[1],[2].
Critical minerals, which are essential for a range of energy technologies and for the broader economy, have become a major focus in global policy and trade discussions. Price volatility, supply chain bottlenecks and geopolitical concerns make the regular monitoring of their supply and demand extremely vital.
Young people will be exposed to a number of heatwaves that no one would have experienced in pre-industrial times. Young people will be exposed to a number of heatwaves that no one would have experienced in pre-industrial times.
We investigate the probabilities of triggering climate tipping points under five Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) and how they are altered by including the additional carbon emissions that could arise from tipping points within the Earth's carbon cycle. The crossing of a climate tipping point at a threshold level of global mean surface temperature (threshold temperature) would commit the affected subsystem of the Earth to abrupt and largely irreversible changes with negative impacts on human well-being. However, it remains unclear which tipping points would be triggered under the different SSPs due to uncertainties in the climate sensitivity to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions, the threshold temperatures and timescales of climate tipping points, and the response of tipping points within the Earth's carbon cycle to global warming. We include those uncertainties in our analysis to derive probabilities of triggering for 16 previously identified climate tipping points within the Earth system.
L’intelligence artificielle propose des analyses de textes performantes. ObsAnt l’interroge sur base de sélections préalables et vous propose les résultats
L’intelligence artificielle propose des analyses de textes performantes. ObsAnt l’interroge sur base de sélections préalables et vous propose les résultats
"Curtis Yarvin, également connu sous le pseudonyme de Mencius Moldbug, est devenu un sujet d'intérêt croissant dans les publications françaises, particulièrement depuis 2024. Cet informaticien et blogueur américain, théoricien de l'idéologie néoréactionnaire, a fait l'objet d'analyses approfondies qui examinent tant sa philosophie politique que son influence présumée sur l'administration Trump." ...
Indispensables à la transition écologique, le passage à l’échelle des énergies renouvelables nécessite de réduire le coût du financement des investissements initiaux, particulièrement importants.
La France s'adapte ... Vivre à plus de 4° - La trajectoire de réchauffement de référence pour l’adaptation au changement climatique anticipe à ce jour une hausse de la température moyenne dans l’Hexagone qui atteindra +4 °C à la fin du siècle.
Les sols constituent le socle qui soutient tout l’édifice des écosystèmes terrestres. Loin de n’être que des supports, ce sont en réalité des écosystèmes en trois dimensions, des milieux et non pas des surfaces, qui sont eux-mêmes vivants et remplissent une série de fonctions écologiques cruciales pour la vie terrestre et donc pour les sociétés humaines.
The ocean ecosystem is a vital component of the global carbon cycle, storing enough carbon to keep atmospheric CO2 considerably lower than it would otherwise be. However, this conception is based on simple models, neglecting the coupled land-ocean feedback. Using an interactive Earth system model, we show that the role ocean biology plays in controlling atmospheric CO2 is more complex than previously thought. Atmospheric CO2 in a new equilibrium state after the biological pump is shut down increases by more than 50% (163 ppm), lower than expected as approximately half the carbon lost from the ocean is adsorbed by the land. The abiotic ocean is less capable of taking up anthropogenic carbon due to the warmer climate, an absent biological surface pCO2 deficit and a higher Revelle factor. Prioritizing research on and preserving marine ecosystem functioning would be crucial to mitigate climate change and the risks associated with it.
The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), vital for northwards heat transport in the Atlantic Ocean, is projected to weaken owing to global warming1, with significant global climate impacts2. However, the extent of AMOC weakening is uncertain with wide variation a …
Le rapport 2025 sur les états de fragilité se penche sur un monde marqué par des rapports de force en pleine recomposition : c’est dans les 61 contextes présentant un degré élevé ou extrême de fragilité que les effets les plus dramatiques des crises, des conflits et de l’instabilité trouvent leur point de convergence. La fragilité multidimensionnelle est en effet au cœur d’évolutions géopolitiques qui mettent à mal des décennies d’équilibre des forces à l’échelle mondiale ; tant les défis que les possibilités qu’elle apporte appellent une réflexion approfondie et une adaptation rapide de l’ensemble des sphères de l’action humanitaire, du développement et de la paix.
Pesticides affect a diverse range of non-target species and may be linked to global biodiversity loss. The magnitude of this hazard remains only partially understood. We present a synthesis of pesticide (insecticide, herbicide and fungicide) impacts on multiple non-target organisms across trophic levels based on 20,212 effect sizes from 1,705 studies. For non-target plants, animals (invertebrate and vertebrates) and microorganisms (bacteria and fungi), we show negative responses of the growth, reproduction, behaviour and other physiological biomarkers within terrestrial and aquatic systems. Pesticides formulated for specific taxa negatively affected non-target groups, e.g. insecticidal neonicotinoids affecting amphibians. Negative effects were more pronounced in temperate than tropical regions but were consistent between aquatic and terrestrial environments, even after correcting for field-realistic terrestrial and environmentally relevant exposure scenarios. Our results question the sustainability of current
Previous health impact assessments of temperature-related mortality in Europe indicated that the mortality burden attributable to cold is much larger than for heat. Questions remain as to whether climate change can result in a net decrease in temperature-related mortality. In this study, we estimated how climate change could affect future heat-related and cold-related mortality in 854 European urban areas, under several climate, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We showed that, with no adaptation to heat, the increase in heat-related deaths consistently exceeds any decrease in cold-related deaths across all considered scenarios in Europe. Under the lowest mitigation and adaptation scenario (SSP3-7.0), we estimate a net death burden due to climate change increasing by 49.9% and cumulating 2,345,410 (95% confidence interval = 327,603 to 4,775,853) climate change-related deaths between 2015 and 2099. This net effect would remain positive even under high adaptation scenarios, whereby a risk attenuation of 50%
Emerging infectious diseases, biodiversity loss, and anthropogenic environmental change are interconnected crises with massive social and ecological costs. In this Review, we discuss how pathogens and parasites are responding to global change, and the implications for pandemic prevention and biodiversity conservation. Ecological and evolutionary principles help to explain why both pandemics and wildlife die-offs are becoming more common; why land-use change and biodiversity loss are often followed by an increase in zoonotic and vector-borne diseases; and why some species, such as bats, host so many emerging pathogens. To prevent the next pandemic, scientists should focus on monitoring and limiting the spread of a handful of high-risk viruses, especially at key interfaces such as farms and live-animal markets. But to address the much broader set of infectious disease risks associated with the Anthropocene, decision-makers will need to develop comprehensive strategies that include pathogen surveillance across s
De nombreux pays dans le monde - dont la France - ont recours aux navires méthaniers pour pourvoir à leur approvisionnement en gaz. Les navires transporteurs de gaz naturel liquéfié (ou GNL, soit du gaz naturel sous forme liquide), accueillent et déchargent le fret de gaz dans des terminaux méthaniers. Ces installations portuaires sont spécialement équipées pour la réception et le stockage du GNL, ainsi que son acheminement vers les points de consommation.
Atrazine is an herbicide widely used on plantations worldwide. Experimental studies suggest that the herbicide impairs male reproductive function in mammals. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to evaluate the impact of atrazine exposure on the levels of hormones from the hypothalamic-pituitary-testicular axis using murine as the animal model. After an extensive literature search, we selected 25 articles for the systematic review.