Les Ressources minérales (*)
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« Une nouvelle ruée minière d’une ampleur inédite a commencé. Au nom de la lutte contre le réchauffement climatique, il faudrait produire en vingt ans autant de métaux qu’on en a extrait au cours de toute l’histoire de l’humanité. Ruée sur le cuivre en Andalousie, extraction de cobalt au Maroc, guerre des ressources en Ukraine, cette enquête sur des sites miniers du monde entier révèle l’impasse et l’hypocrisie de cette « transition » extractiviste. »
Source : présentation de « La ruée minière au XXIe siècle » – Enquête sur les métaux à l’ère de la transition – Celia Izoard
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filtre:
James Hansen, Pushker Kharecha, Dylan Morgan, Jasen Vest
2026
The world seems headed into another El Nino, just 3 years after the last one. Such quick return normally would imply, at most, an El Nino of moderate strength, but we suggest that even a moderately strong El Nino may yield record global temperature already in 2026 and still greater temperature in 2027. The extreme warming will be a result mainly of high climate sensitivity and a recent increase of the net global climate forcing, not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se. We find that the principal drive for global warming acceleration began in about 2015, which implies that 2°C global warming is likely to be reached in the 2030s, not at midcentury.
2025
Global temperature in 2025 declined 0.1°C from its El Nino-spurred maximum in 2024, making 2025 the second warmest year. The 2023-2025 mean is +1.5°C relative to 1880-1920. The 12-month running-mean temperature should decline for the next few months, reaching a minimum about +1.4°C. Later in 2026, we expect the 12-month running-mean temperature to begin to rise, as dynamical models show development of an El Nino. We project a global temperature record of +1.7°C in 2027, which will provide further confirmation of the recent global warming acceleration.
