La veille

The escalating tensions between Pakistan and India serve as a stark reminder that climate change is no longer a distant — it is now a force multiplier for geopolitical instability. As the climate crisis accelerates, so too does its capacity to deepen existing rivalries, strain fragile agreements, and inflame long-standing disputes. In South Asia, the Indus Waters Treaty (IWT) has long been a rare success story of transboundary cooperation between two nuclear-armed neighbours. However, as both climate pressures and political tensions mount, this once-resilient agreement is beginning to show signs of severe strain. The looming question is no longer just about water rights — it’s about whether climate change could be the catalyst for the world’s first true climate war.

La montée des tensions entre le Pakistan et l’Inde rappelle brutalement que le changement climatique n’est plus un phénomène lointain - il agit désormais comme un multiplicateur d’instabilité géopolitique. À mesure que la crise climatique s’accélère, sa capacité à approfondir les rivalités existantes, à fragiliser des accords précaires et à enflammer des différends de longue date s’accroît également.