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sensibilité climatique
2025
Climate sensitivity is substantially higher than IPCC’s best estimate (3°C for doubled CO2), a conclusion we reach with greater than 99 percent confidence. We also show that global climate forcing by aerosols became stronger (increasingly negative) during 1970-2005, unlike IPCC’s best estimate of aerosol forcing. High confidence in these conclusions is based on a broad analysis approach. IPCC’s underestimates of climate sensitivity and aerosol cooling follow from their disproportionate emphasis on global climate modeling, an approach that will not yield timely, reliable, policy advice.
2021
Une étude menée par des scientifiques de l’Imperial College de Londres et de l’Université d’East Anglia, apporte de nouveaux éléments montrant que les changements affectant les nuages amplifieront le réchauffement mondial à long terme.
2019
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2016
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