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La pollution est la destruction ou dégradation d’un écosystème ou de la biosphère par l’introduction, généralement humaine, d’entités (physiques, chimiques ou biologiques), ou de radiations altérant le fonctionnement de cet écosystème1. La pollution a des effets importants sur la santé et la biosphère, comme en témoigne l’exposition aux polluants et le réchauffement climatique qui transforme le climat de la Terre et son écosystème, en entraînant l’apparition de maladies inconnues jusqu’alors dans certaines zones géographiques, des migrations de certaines espèces, voire leur extinction si elles ne peuvent s’adapter à leur nouvel environnement biophysique. Source : wikipedia
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James Hansen, Pushker Kharecha, Dylan Morgan, Jasen Vest,
We infer that 2026 is likely to be the warmest year in the period of instrumental data, based on a physics-based approach with identifiable assumptions. This approach may help us learn something in 2026 about the mechanisms of climate change. The figures in this post and our other current papers will be continually updated on our website,2 when they remain relevant. We are also now on Substack3.
Models are converging on prediction of an El Nino beginning this year, peaking in early 2027. After overlooking the possibility of an El Nino this year, some reporting is jumping on a “Super El Nino” bandwagon. El Nino strength and frequency are important, especially the issue of whether these are modified by global warming. However, the more important knowledge that needs to be extracted from near-term global warming concerns interpretation of ongoing, extraordinary, acceleration of ocean surface warming. Impacts of this ocean warming include a factor of two greater warming over land, increased extreme precipitation, and poleward movement of subtropical conditions.
