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filtre:
Hans
2026
Models are converging on prediction of an El Nino beginning this year, peaking in early 2027. After overlooking the possibility of an El Nino this year, some reporting is jumping on a “Super El Nino” bandwagon. El Nino strength and frequency are important, especially the issue of whether these are modified by global warming. However, the more important knowledge that needs to be extracted from near-term global warming concerns interpretation of ongoing, extraordinary, acceleration of ocean surface warming. Impacts of this ocean warming include a factor of two greater warming over land, increased extreme precipitation, and poleward movement of subtropical conditions.
Pour moi, Hans Jonas est le philosophe qui a le mieux compris le plus grand problème de notre époque, qui sera définitivement, pour toujours, le problème existentiel de l’espèce humaine, depuis la …
What is currently happening in Brussels under the guise of regulatory simplification is being presented as something technical and logical. Less regulatory pressure, more competitiveness. A series of so-called omnibus bills are intended to streamline legislation. Reporting obligations are being limited and reassessments of raw materials postponed. It sounds like administrative efficiency. In Washington, things are moving even faster: Trump is dismantling the basis for climate laws while the world continues to warm up. The framing is the same: rules slow down businesses, and a slowed-down business community makes us poor. But that reasoning assumes something that is not true: that everyone wants the same thing from the market.
Science-based policies could successfully limit human-caused climate change, but when political parties are allowed to accept money from special interests, policies are distorted to the point of being ineffective. This is a solvable problem, but to clarify the situation and the needed actions, we need to first marshal the evidence. The draft Prologue of Sophie’s Planet is intended to help coherently organize the evidence. Here is Part III of V, with the final two paragraphs of Part II.
The world seems headed into another El Nino, just 3 years after the last one. Such quick return normally would imply, at most, an El Nino of moderate strength, but we suggest that even a moderately strong El Nino may yield record global temperature already in 2026 and still greater temperature in 2027. The extreme warming will be a result mainly of high climate sensitivity and a recent increase of the net global climate forcing, not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se. We find that the principal drive for global warming acceleration began in about 2015, which implies that 2°C global warming is likely to be reached in the 2030s, not at midcentury.
The world seems headed into another El Nino, just 3 years after the last one. Such quick return normally would imply, at most, an El Nino of moderate strength, but we suggest that even a moderately strong El Nino may yield record global temperature already in 2026 and still greater temperature in 2027. The extreme warming will be a result mainly of high climate sensitivity and a recent increase of the net global climate forcing, not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se. We find that the principal drive for global warming acceleration began in about 2015, which implies that 2°C global warming is likely to be reached in the 2030s, not at midcentury.
The Senate is on the verge of taking up a bill with the Orwellian title “Fix Our Forests Act.” It is designed to do the opposite, as Dan Galpern and I describe in an op-ed published yesterday in the Boston Globe, which is copied below with permission of the Globe. The bill would result in swaths of the public’s national forests becoming “categorical exclusion” zones open to logging exempt from any environmental review. Thus, the bill would override the purposes for which national forests were set up, including “outdoor recreation, range…watershed, and wildlife and fish purposes.” This sin is rationalized under the pretense that the Act will reduce wildfire risk and improve forest health by “thinning” the forest. This is nonsense, as our op-ed discusses.
En réponse à «la terreur d’Etat qui s’est abattue sur la ville de Minneapolis», la légende du rock a publié ce jeudi 29 janvier une chanson, écrite et enregistrée en quelques jours, pour dénoncer la politique anti-immigration de Trump.
C’est une notion que l’on entend souvent, mais qu’on ne saisit pas toujours. Pour le pionnier de la pensée écologique Hans Jonas, il s’agit de se montrer responsable de ce qui n’existe pas encore : la vie des générations futures. Nicolas Tenaillon nous explique ça.
Ce mémoire propose une critique de la philosophie de Hans Jonas. Dans son Le principe responsabilité, Jonas propose une réponse philosophique aux questions soulevées par la découverte des limites planétaires dans les années 1970 grâce au rapport Meadows. Ce mémoire met en avant la filiation entre Jonas et Platon en matière de philosophie politique. Jonas reprend explicitement les arguments platoniciens sur la faiblesse de la démocratie en comparaison de l’aristocratie. Ce rejet de la démocratie est en réalité une conséquence de l’épistémologie de Platon. L’existence d’une Idée absolue du Bien pour Platon implique mécaniquement le fait que seule seraient légitimes les personnes capables de le percevoir. Toutes les personnes inaptes seraient alors disqualifiées à exercer un pouvoir politique. Dans cette perspective la démocratie apparaît comme régime qui confierait le pouvoir à des masses ignorants la véritable nature du Bien. Jonas réactualise cette philosophie dans le cadre de la crise écologique. Les démocra
