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This research reinforces the scientific consensus that the only viable strategy to limit catastrophic climate change requires drastic and immediate emissions cuts. An important study was published last month in the journal Nature, titled “Overconfidence in climate overshoot.” While increasingly dire warnings of the catastrophic impacts of global climate change continue to be published by scientists, the findings of this new paper provide another stark reminder of the urgent necessity to limit global warming by immediately reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions.

Surpassing 1.5°C of warming can be undone at a later date – using tech, land and resources that don’t exist.

The net zero approach of the Paris agreement has become detached from reality as it increasingly relies on science fiction levels of speculative technology.

Het is vandaag Earth Overshoot Day: vanaf vandaag tot het einde van het jaar verbruikt de wereldbevolking meer dan onze planeet op een jaar aan grondstoffen en diensten kan leveren. Voor onze huidige levensstijl zijn eigenlijk 1,7 planeten aarde nodig, en dat kan uitdraaien op een ramp, waarschuwen experts. Earth Overshoot Day valt dit jaar ook een dag vroeger dan vorig jaar.

Als de hele wereld zou consumeren zoals de Belgen, zouden de natuurlijke hulpbronnen nu zaterdag 23 maart al opgebruikt zijn. “Ons systeem loopt tegen de grenzen van de planeet aan”, zegt het WWF.

Referring to the Paris Agreement’s target of keeping Earth from warming no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution, the number has become a rallying cry for climate advocates and scientists, who say the goal is humanity’s best bet on avoiding the most catastrophic outcomes of climate change by the end of the century. Venturing even 0.5 degrees past that threshold could drastically increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather, biodiversity loss, famine and water scarcity, as well as make it more likely that tipping points accelerate warming further, climate scientists say.

Previously, anthropogenic ecological overshoot has been identified as a fundamental cause of the myriad symptoms we see around the globe today from biodiversity loss and ocean acidification to the disturbing rise in novel entities and climate change. In the present paper, we have examined this more deeply, and explore the behavioural drivers of overshoot, providing evidence that overshoot is itself a symptom of a deeper, more subversive modern crisis of human behaviour. We work to name and frame this crisis as ‘the Human Behavioural Crisis’ and propose the crisis be recognised globally as a critical intervention point for tackling ecological overshoot. We demonstrate how current interventions are largely physical, resource intensive, slow-moving and focused on addressing the symptoms of ecological overshoot (such as climate change) rather than the distal cause (maladaptive behaviours). We argue that even in the best-case scenarios, symptom-level interventions are unlikely to avoid catastrophe or achieve more

Homo sapiens has evolved to reproduce exponentially, expand geographically, and consume all available resources. For most of humanity’s evolutionary history, such expansionist tendencies have been countered by negative feedback. However, the scientific revolution and the use of fossil fuels reduced many forms of negative feedback, enabling us to realize our full potential for exponential growth. This natural capacity is being reinforced by growth-oriented neoliberal economics—nurture complements nature. Problem: the human enterprise is a ‘dissipative structure’ and sub-system of the ecosphere—it can grow and maintain itself only by consuming and dissipating available energy and resources extracted from its host system, the ecosphere, and discharging waste back into its host. The population increase from one to eight billion, and >100-fold expansion of real GWP in just two centuries on a finite planet, has thus propelled modern techno-industrial society into a state of advanced overshoot. We are consuming and

Morgen, op 2 augustus, zullen alle hulpbronnen al opgebruikt zijn die de planeet in een jaar kan genereren. Als iedereen aan het tempo van de Belgen zou consumeren, zou “Earth Overshoot Day” zelfs al op 26 maart gevallen zijn, zegt het Wereldnatuurfonds.

Earth Overshoot Day is de dag waarop de vraag van de mensheid naar ecologische hulpbronnen dat wat de aarde in dat jaar kan aanleveren, overstijgt.

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Many pathways to stopping climate change involve overshooting 1.5°C temporarily. The latest synthesis of 34,000 references says that’s a bad idea.

Vandaag, 29 juli, is “Earth Overshoot Day”, de dag van het jaar waarop we als mensheid alle hulpbronnen hebben opgebruikt waar we eigenlijk een volledig jaar mee zouden moeten toekomen. De dag valt vier weken vroeger dan vorig jaar. Maakten we tijdens het coronajaar 2020 een bescheiden ecologische winst, dan is die dus alweer uitgewist.

Dès ce jeudi 29 juillet, la population mondiale entamera le capital naturel de notre planète. Calculé par l’ONG Global Footprint Network, le jour du dépassement planétaire (Earth Overshoot Day) correspond au jour où l’humanité aura utilisé autant de ressources biologiques que ce que la Terre peut régénérer en une année.

À compter de ce jeudi 29 juillet 2021, et pour le reste de l’année, l’humanité vivra à crédit sur les ressources naturelles de la planète. C’est ce que rappelle chaque année le Jour du Dépassement (Overshoot Day) qui mesure l’empreinte des activités humaines sur l’environnement. Cette mesure initiée par le Global Footprint Network participe à la prise de conscience de l’impact des activités humaines sur l’environnement.