Focus Climat

Exxon warns oil inventories will hit dangerously low levels in weeks, forcing prices to shoot higher. […]

Brutal El Nino, drought, war threatens food supply

We infer that 2026 is likely to be the warmest year in the period of instrumental data, based on a physics-based approach with identifiable assumptions. This approach may help us learn something in 2026 about the mechanisms of climate change. The figures in this post and our other current papers will be continually updated on our website,2 when they remain relevant. We are also now on Substack3.

Même sans grande marche pour le climat, même en période d’instabilité politique et militaire, le Belge garde une attention particulière aux problèmes climatiques. C’est ce qui ressort de la vaste enquête menée par le SPF Santé publique, enquête menée tous les quatre ans depuis 2005. Les gestes quotidiens d’économie d’énergie ou de tri des déchets sont rentrés dans les mœurs, mais les citoyens estiment que les autorités belges et européennes doivent maintenir ou accélérer la transition climatique. C’est un peu moins le cas quand on s’attaque à leur portefeuille.

De uitstap uit fossiele brandstoffen vergt meer dan technische klimaatmaatregelen. Op een conferentie in Colombia staat de vraag centraal of staten bereid zijn de macht van multinationals in te perken en de energietransitie te verankeren in mensenrechten.

Around 153 BCE, Cato the Elder, one of Rome’s most prominent senators, began ending every single one of his speeches with the same words: “Carthago delenda est”, or “Carthage must be destroyed”.

À l’occasion de la journée de la terre, l’Agence Média Palestine s’est entretenue avec William Mina, médiateur et animateur de collectifs auprès d’acteurs de l’économie sociale et solidaire, aussi impliqué dans des mouvements d’écologie politique et de solidarité avec la Palestine et le Liban.

We can’t know how long the war in the Middle East will last. Nor can we know who will “win” it, and in which terms. What we know is that the destruction already wreaked on things and people is immense, and it keeps escalating. The longer the war, the bleaker their perspectives in a region already plagued by all sorts of problems, including drought, soil degradation, ecosystem damage, scarce agricultural resources, declining fertility rates, and more.

Climate change is causing measurable harm globally1,2. Political and legal efforts seek to link these damages with specific emissions, including in discussions of loss and damage (L&D)3,4; however, no quantitative definition of L&D exists5,6, nor is there a framework to link past and future emissions from specific sources to monetized, location-specific damages. Here we develop such a framework, which is integrated with recent efforts to estimate the social cost of carbon7. Using empirical estimates of the non-linear relationship between temperature and aggregate economic output, we show that future damages from past emissions—one component of L&D—are at least an order of magnitude larger than historical damages from the same emissions. For instance, one tonne of CO2 emitted in 1990 caused US$180 in discounted global damages by 2020 ($40–530) and will cause an additional $1,840 through 2100 ($500–5,700). Thus, settling debts for past damages will not settle debts for past emissions. In other illustrative esti

Drie dagen lang was er in Brussel een grote wapenbeurs waar bezoekers volgens de organisatie zelf “een inspirerende uitstap” konden ervaren. Stop Militarisering organiseerde in hetzelfde weekend een conferentie om te wijzen op de destructieve wapenwedloop waar België zich in mengt. DeWereldMorgen was erbij.

Paul R. Ehrlich will be remembered as a scientist whose books about population and threats to the environment shaped the idea of limited growth in the modern era.

El Niño could fuel extreme weather and raise temperatures to record highs this year, but how sure can we be that it will return?

The world seems headed into another El Nino, just 3 years after the last one. Such quick return normally would imply, at most, an El Nino of moderate strength, but we suggest that even a moderately strong El Nino may yield record global temperature already in 2026 and still greater temperature in 2027. The extreme warming will be a result mainly of high climate sensitivity and a recent increase of the net global climate forcing, not the result of an exceptional El Nino, per se. We find that the principal drive for global warming acceleration began in about 2015, which implies that 2°C global warming is likely to be reached in the 2030s, not at midcentury.

Na drie weken van keiharde repressie tellen de Iraanse demonstranten hun doden. Het exacte aantal is moeilijk na te gaan, maar getuigenissen en beelden van overvolle mortuaria, massagraven en doelgerichte moorden suggereren een duizelingwekkende dodentol. MO* sprak met mensen in Iran en in de diaspora om de ware omvang van de staatsterreur van de ayatollahs in kaart te brengen.

Exclusive: Ben Goldsmith will work on issues including fishing and green belt preservation to attract green Tories

New year, new acronym! The newly established Intergovernmental Science-Policy Panel on Chemicals, Waste and Pollution (ISP-CWP) will meet in its first Plenary session from February 2-6 in Geneva, Switzerland. The Panel is designed to provide scientific assessments on chemicals, waste, and pollution to inform policymakers at national, regional, and international levels.

Il y a quelques années, le gouvernement colombien avait tourné le dos à l’utilisation massive de l’herbicide pour détruire les cultures illégales des trafiquants de drogue. Depuis, il a changé d’avis : les épandages reprennent en ce mois de janvier, selon la volonté du président étasunien.

De eerste koude nachten zijn gevallen. In sommige straten worden dekens uitgedeeld aan mensen die nergens terechtkunnen, terwijl achter de ramen van regeringsgebouwen het licht nog brandt. Binnen wordt onderhandeld over cijfers, budgetten en opvangcapaciteit, maar zelden gaat het over de mensen zelf, vindt de Syrische Belg en opiniemaker Alaa Jbour.

Delegates made minimal headway on timetable for replacing oil and gas or on firm commitments to reducing carbon emissions

Watchdog’s flagship report says rise in low-carbon electricity will make transition ‘inevitable’, despite Trump’s calls to carry on drilling