Veille 2.1

Résumé des programmes suite au Débat Climat avec 7 candidat.es aux élections européennes et après consultation de leurs sites

Le débat a été modéré par Vinz Kanté, fondateur du média Limit Il s'est tenu à l'espace Talk C.E.C., chaussée de Wavre 143 à Ixelles où l'exposition Mers et Océans sera ouverte jusqu'au 7 juillet (https://talk-cec.com) Quelles sont les solutions proposées par nos politiques pour faire face à l'urgence climatique ? Après le mot de bienvenue de Talk C.E.C. et l'introduction de Rise for Climate, nous avons invité les candidats à présenter leur bilan du Pacte vert européen au cours du mandat 2019-2024 et leur programme climat pour le prochain mandat 2024-2029. Ensuite les collectifs Rise for Climate, Youth for Climate, Grands Parents pour le climat, Extinction Rebellion, et Mouvement d'Action Paysanne ont posé leurs questions ainsi que le public présent dans la salle.

Record-breaking temperatures were recorded across the globe in 2023. Without climate action, adverse climate-related health impacts are expected to worsen worldwide, affecting billions of people. Temperatures in Europe are warming at twice the rate of the global average, threatening the health of populations across the continent and leading to unnecessary loss of life. The Lancet Countdown in Europe was established in 2021, to assess the health profile of climate change aiming to stimulate European social and political will to implement rapid health-responsive climate mitigation and adaptation actions. In 2022, the collaboration published its indicator report, tracking progress on health and climate change via 33 indicators and across five domains.

Climate scientists have told the Guardian they expect catastrophic levels of global heating. Here’s what that would mean for the planet

Here, we show that the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) provides a stronger constraint on equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the global warming from increasing greenhouse gases, after accounting for temperature patterns. Feedbacks governing ECS depend on spatial patterns of surface temperature (“pattern effects”); hence, using the LGM to constrain future warming requires quantifying how temperature patterns produce different feedbacks during LGM cooling versus modern-day warming. Combining data assimilation reconstructions with atmospheric models, we show that the climate is more sensitive to LGM forcing because ice sheets amplify extratropical cooling where feedbacks are destabilizing. Accounting for LGM pattern effects yields a median modern-day ECS of 2.4°C, 66% range 1.7° to 3.5°C (1.4° to 5.0°C, 5 to 95%), from LGM evidence alone. Combining the LGM with other lines of evidence, the best estimate becomes 2.9°C, 66% range 2.4° to 3.5°C (2.1° to 4.1°C, 5 to 95%), substantially narrowing uncertainty compared t

Exclusive: Survey of hundreds of experts reveals harrowing picture of future, but they warn climate fight must not be abandoned

Editorial: Top experts believe global temperatures will rise by at least 2.5C above pre-industrial levels by 2100. That frightening prediction must spur us to action

Exclusive: Planet is headed for at least 2.5C of heating with disastrous results for humanity, poll of hundreds of scientists finds

Outgoing special rapporteur David Boyd says ‘there’s something wrong with our brains that we can’t understand how grave this is’

Oil and gas equipment intended to cut methane emissions is preventing scientists from accurately detecting greenhouse gases and pollutants, a satellite image investigation has revealed. Energy companies operating in countries such as the US, UK, Germany and Norway appear to have installed technology that could stop researchers from identifying methane, carbon dioxide emissions and pollutants at industrial facilities involved in the disposal of unprofitable natural gas, known in the industry as flaring.

VN-klimaatbaas Simon Stiell hoopt dat de volgende klimaattoppen het met veel minder bezoekers kunnen stellen. De laatste top in Dubai was een recordeditie met bijna 84.000 deelnemers.

Inheemse gemeenschappen verzetten in hun directe omgeving belangrijk onbetaald werk in de strijd tegen de klimaatverandering en voor natuurbeheer. Werk dat in feite de hele wereld ten goede komt. Moet dit werk worden vergoed?

Global projections of macroeconomic climate-change damages typically consider impacts from average annual and national temperatures over long time horizons1–6. Here we use recent empirical findings from more than 1,600 regions worldwide over the past 40 years to project sub-national damages from temperature and precipitation, including daily variability and extremes7,8. Using an empirical approach that provides a robust lower bound on the persistence of impacts on economic growth, we find that the world economy is committed to an income reduction of 19% within the next 26 years independent of future emission choices (relative to a baseline without climate impacts, likely range of 11–29% accounting for physical climate and empirical uncertainty). These damages already outweigh the mitigation costs required to limit global warming to 2 °C by sixfold over this near-term time frame and thereafter diverge strongly dependent on emission choices. Committed damages arise predominantly through changes in average tempe

Cost of environmental damage will be six times higher than price of limiting global heating to 2C, study finds

Decarbonization efforts and sustainability transformations represent highly contested socio-political projects. Yet, they often encounter various forms of depoliticization. This article illuminates how a grand socio-ecological challenge like the energy transition gets depoliticized by an unusual suspect, namely Germany's Green Party. Based on a qualitative content analysis of Green Party programs, party conventions, and additional documents published between 1980 and 2021, this article traces how the Green Party has depoliticized the energy transition over time, emphasizing a shift from radical societal change to ecological modernization. The changing stance of the German Greens on the country's energy transition reflects more profound changes of a future society the party collectively envisions through their energy and climate change agenda. These changes result from a struggle between moderates advocating incremental political reforms and radicals aiming for more fundamental and systemic societal change.

Weak government climate policies violate fundamental human rights, the European court of human rights has ruled

If the anomaly does not stabilise by August, ‘the world will be in uncharted territory’, says climate expert

World’s fossil-fuel producers on track to nearly quadruple output from newly approved projects by decade’s end, report finds

Het klimaatagentschap van de VN wordt geconfronteerd met ‘ernstige financiële uitdagingen’. Regeringen stellen niet voldoende middelen ter beschikking, terwijl de takenlast van het agentschap voortdurend groeit.

.Contribution to (a) effective radiative forcing (ERF) and (b) global surface temperature change from component emissions for1750–2019based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models and (c) net aerosol ERF for 1750–2014 from different lines of evidence.

Taking into account all known factors, the planet warmed 0.2 °C more last year than climate scientists expected. More and better data are urgently needed. Taking into account all known factors, the planet warmed 0.2 °C more last year than climate scientists expected. More and better data are urgently needed.

Dr Sarah Benn has long been concerned about the climate crisis, diligently recycling until she was “blue in the face”. But the rise of the climate activist group Extinction Rebellion in 2019 inspired her and her husband to go further. “We thought: well, if we don’t do it then who else is going to?”

Deze week trekken de kiezers van de op drie na grootste uitstoter ter wereld opnieuw naar de stembus. Poetin kan rekenen op nog eens zes jaar aan de macht, en dat heeft ook gevolgen voor de wereldwijde strijd tegen de klimaatverandering.

Elizabeth Kolbert on a record-breaking rise in global sea-surface temperatures, which suggests that scientists may not understand how fast the climate is changing.

Et si lutter efficacement contre le réchauffement climatique devrait passer par l'utilisation d'une IA experte dans le domaine ?

Evidence shows a continuing increase in the frequency and severity of global heatwaves1,2, raising concerns about the future impacts of climate change and the associated socioeconomic costs3,4. Here we develop a disaster footprint analytical framework by integrating climate, epidemiological and hybrid input–output and computable general equilibrium global trade models to estimate the midcentury socioeconomic impacts of heat stress. We consider health costs related to heat exposure, the value of heat-induced labour productivity loss and indirect losses due to economic disruptions cascading through supply chains. Here we show that the global annual incremental gross domestic product loss increases exponentially from 0.03 ± 0.01 (SSP 245)–0.05 ± 0.03 (SSP 585) percentage points during 2030–2040 to 0.05 ± 0.01–0.15 ± 0.04 percentage points during 2050–2060. By 2060, the expected global economic losses reach a total of 0.6–4.6% with losses attributed to health loss (37–45%), labour productivity loss (18–37%) and i

Activist accuses Sweden of being ‘very good at greenwashing’ as group sits outside building’s main entrance. Greta Thunberg has accused Sweden of being “very good at greenwashing” as she staged a protest along with about 50 other activists outside her home country’s parliament.

Dangers of wildfires, extreme weather and other factors outgrowing preparedness, European Environment Agency says

A new study led by researchers at the University of Oxford has used the fossil record to better understand what factors make animals more vulnerable to extinction from climate change. The results, published today in the journal Science, could help to identify species most at risk today from human-driven climate change.

Near-real time updates of key global climate variables from the the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S)

We owe all children a planet Earth as wonderful as the one we have enjoyed!

Ce rapport analyse les obstacles et leviers à la lumière de projets inspirants en matière d'adaptation des villes à l'élévation du niveau de la mer dans le Pacifique.

Rapid ocean warming and unusually hot winter days recorded as human-made global heating combines with El Niño

De nieuwe ultrarechtse president van Argentinië Javier Milei wil de kettingzaag zetten in de milieu- en klimaatregels van het land. Voorlopig komt hij van een kale reis thuis.

Scientists now have a better understanding of the risks ahead and a new early warning signal to watch for.

Collapse in system of currents that helps regulate global climate would be at such speed that adaptation would be impossible

Mitigating climate change necessitates global cooperation, yet global data on individuals’ willingness to act remain scarce. In this study, we conducted a representative survey across 125 countries, interviewing nearly 130,000 individuals. Our findings reveal widespread support for climate action. Notably, 69% of the global population expresses a willingness to contribute 1% of their personal income, 86% endorse pro-climate social norms and 89% demand intensified political action. Countries facing heightened vulnerability to climate change show a particularly high willingness to contribute. Despite these encouraging statistics, we document that the world is in a state of pluralistic ignorance, wherein individuals around the globe systematically underestimate the willingness of their fellow citizens to act. This perception gap, combined with individuals showing conditionally cooperative behaviour, poses challenges to further climate action. Therefore, raising awareness about the broad global support for climat

RealClimate: A new paper was published in Science Advances today. Its title says what it is about: "Physics-based early warning signal shows that AMOC is on tipping course." The study follows one by Danish colleagues which made headlines last July, likewise looking for early warning signals for approaching an AMOC tipping point (we discussed it here),

On connaissait l’avion propulsé à l’énergie solaire : Solar Impulse. Voici à présent le projet Climate Impulse, qui pour objectif de développer un avion qui volera à l’hydrogène. L’explorateur suisse Bertrand Piccard et Ilham Kadri, ex-PDG du groupe belge Solvay et à présent directrice générale de Syensqo (société issue de la scission du groupe chimique Solvay) étaient les invités de la Première ce matin pour nous parler de ce nouveau projet qui mêle technologie et climat.

Un tour du monde sans escale en huit jours dans un avion avec l'hydrogène vert pour carburant: après Solar Impulse, Bertrand Piccard lance Climate Impulse, un nouveau projet pour promouvoir les technologies zéro émission et "montrer qu'il y a des solutions".Conçu en partenariat avec le chimiste belge Syensqo, qui s'est scindé en décembre de Solvay, l'avion aura un double fuselage avec le cockpit installé au milieu et 37 mètres d'envergure, moitié moins que Solar Impulse.

John Podesta stapt in de schoenen van VS-klimaatgezant John Kerry, die vorige maand zijn afscheid aankondigde. Wie is de man die de rol van Amerikaans klimaatambassadeur op zich neemt?

Anthropogenic emissions drive global-scale warming yet the temperature increase relative to pre-industrial levels is uncertain. Using 300 years of ocean mixed-layer temperature records preserved in sclerosponge carbonate skeletons, we demonstrate that industrial-era warming began in the mid-1860s, more than 80 years earlier than instrumental sea surface temperature records. The Sr/Ca palaeothermometer was calibrated against ‘modern’ (post-1963) highly correlated (R2 = 0.91) instrumental records of global sea surface temperatures, with the pre-industrial defined by nearly constant (<±0.1 °C) temperatures from 1700 to the early 1860s. Increasing ocean and land-air temperatures overlap until the late twentieth century, when the land began warming at nearly twice the rate of the surface oceans. Hotter land temperatures, together with the earlier onset of industrial-era warming, indicate that global warming was already 1.7 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels by 2020. Our result is 0.5 °C higher than IPCC estim

EUCityCalc has officially launched its free, open source online platform that allows local councils and other stakeholders to visualise and simulate low-carbon scenarios for their towns and cities, as well as to assess the trade-offs related to available choices.

The Center for Countering Digital Hate put out a new report a few days ago, in which they warn that climate misinformation continuous to flourish on YouTube. They want YouTube to take more action. I had a look and I don't like what I read.

Small modular reactors (SMRs) have been the subject of endless hype in recent years but in fact, no SMRs have ever been built, none are being built now and in all likelihood none will ever be built because of the prohibitive costs. SMRs are defined as reactors with a capacity of 300 megawatts (MW) or less with serial factory production of reactor components (or ‘modules’). No SMRs have been built, but dozens of small (<300 MW) power reactors have been built in numerous countries, without factory production of reactor components.

This report written by the World Economic Forum, in collaboration with Oliver Wyman, provides an in-depth economic analysis of how climate change will reshape health landscapes over the next two decades. It highlights increased risks from new pathogens, pollution and extreme weather events and shows how these will exacerbate current health inequities, disproportionately impacting the most vulnerable populations.

To truly evaluate your impact on the environment, you have to go way beyond recycle bins and energy bills...

New paper claims unless demand for resources is reduced, many other innovations are just a sticking plaster Record heat, record emissions, record fossil fuel consumption. One month out from Cop28, the world is further than ever from reaching its collective climate goals. At the root of all these problems, according to recent research, is the human “behavioural crisis”, a term coined by an interdisciplinary team of scientists.

Il y a de quoi devenir fou, ballotté entre les injonctions consuméristes de l’économie de marché et les consignes de frugalité qu’impose la crise climatique. Prenez, cette semaine, la grand-messe du CES, le Consumer Electronics Show de Las Vegas, immense débauche technologique à destination du grand public et rendez-vous incontournable des prosélytes de l’innovation.

Exclusive: First months of conflict produced more planet-warming gases than 20 climate-vulnerable nations do in a year, study shows

James Hansen says limit will be passed ‘for all practical purposes’ by May though other experts predict that will happen in 2030s

The European Commission has received an open letter signed by 110 academics, businesses, civil society organisations and research institutions urging the EU to separate emissions reductions, land-based sequestration and permanent carbon removals in the EU’s post-2030 climate framework. This separation should be at the heart of both the setting and the implementation of the 2040 target and associated plans.

A focus on economic stability in the near-term makes the climate crisis worse in the long-term.

Last year I was fortunate enough to be joined by four remarkable women in the British environmental movement. We were speaking at a Deep Adaptation conference in Glastonbury. The way the discussion…

Biotech firms are using climate goals opportunistically in an attempt to force through the deregulation of genetically modified crops.

New path to transition away from fossil fuels marred by lack of finance and loopholes COP28 in Dubai sends an important signal on the end of fossil fuels but leaves more questions than answers on how to ensure a fair and funded transition that is based on science and equity

Découvrez le Sommet Climate Chance Europe 2024 à Liège, un événement clé sur la résilience climatique et les solutions basées sur la nature.

Nu de VN-klimaattop in Dubai zijn tweede week is ingegaan, neemt de druk toe om in het akkoord te praten over een geleidelijke afbouw van fossiele brandstoffen. Maar ook de tegenstand tegen dat idee groeit, met oliestaat Saudi-Arabië op kop.

Humanity faces ‘devastating domino effects’ including mass displacement and financial ruin as planet warms

Referring to the Paris Agreement’s target of keeping Earth from warming no more than 1.5 degrees Celsius since the Industrial Revolution, the number has become a rallying cry for climate advocates and scientists, who say the goal is humanity’s best bet on avoiding the most catastrophic outcomes of climate change by the end of the century. Venturing even 0.5 degrees past that threshold could drastically increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather, biodiversity loss, famine and water scarcity, as well as make it more likely that tipping points accelerate warming further, climate scientists say.